Research Article Volume 12 Issue 5
Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, Egypt
Correspondence: Osama S Abdelaziz, M.B.Ch.B., M.Ch., M.D, Professor of Neurosurgery, Department of Neurosurgery, Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University, P.O. 21521, Alexandria, Egypt, Tel (+2) 01223153835, Fax (+203) 487-3076
Received: August 24, 2022 | Published: September 14, 2022
Citation: Abdelaziz OS, Waffa Z. In-Hospital predictors of severity and mortality among neuro-covid patients: a covid-19 retrospective case control study. J Neurol Stroke. 2022;12(5):148-160. DOI: 10.15406/jnsk.2022.12.00517
Background: Global studies have exemplified that COVID-19 has neurological manifestations. This study gives an insight to the impact of COVID-19 on the nervous system in Alexandria, Egypt and identifies in-hospital predictors of severity and mortality among Neuro-COVID patients.
Methods: This single centre, retrospective case-control study was conducted from August 1st, 2020 to January 31st, 2021, on patients admitted at the COVID-19 Isolation Hospital in Alexandria University, Egypt. A Neuro-COVID patient was defined as any patient with confirmed COVID-19 disease and evidence of one or more new onset nervous system clinical presentation.
Results: Out of 1073 in-patients, 352 were Neuro-COVID patients (183 [52%] females and 169 [48%] males). The mean age was 36.64 ± 18.97 years and 161 (45.7%) had comorbidities. Most common involvement was neuromusculoskeletal system (240 [68.2%]), followed by central nervoussystem (164 [46.6%]) and peripheral nervous system (125 [35.5%]), whereas, psychiatric disorders (4 [1.1%]) were the least common. Myalgia (215 [61.1%]); anosmia (118 [33.5%]); headache (100 [28.4%]); ageusia (80 [22.7%]); altered level of consciousness (56 [15.9%]); arthralgia (43 [12.2%]) and dizziness (12 [3.4%]) were predominant presentations. Female Neuro-COVID patients were twice as more likely to be critical than moderate (P =0.030). Critical cases with nervous system presentations manifested 12 times higher risk of death when compared to severe cases (P <0.001).
Conclusions: Nervous system involvement was predominant and clinically significant in COVID-19. Disease severity was identified as an independent predictor of mortality in hospitalised Neuro-COVID patients.
Keywords: SARS coronavirus, COVID-19, nervous system, neurological manifestation, Neuro-COVID, Alexandria, Egypt
COVID-19, coronavirus disease 2019; SARS-CoV-2, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2; RT-PCR, real-time polymerase chain reaction; CNS, central nervous system; PNS, peripheral nervous system; NMS, neuromusculoskeletal; PSY, psychiatric; ICU, intensive care unit; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; LOC, loss of consciousness; UMN, upper motor neuron
The impact of Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) on the nervous system is extensively researched during this dynamically evolving pandemic era.1,2 Viral infections, such as human corona viruses (HCoV), are known to burden the nervous system and potentially lead to irreversible or fatal neurological conditions when the brain is compromised. This draws major concerns towards demanding resources and hospital workload experienced in the management of infectious disease outbreaks, particularly COVID-19.HCoV-229E, HCoV-OC43, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus (SARS-CoV), HCoV-NL63, HCoV-HKU1, Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV) and severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) were chronologically identified as HCoV strains. SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV were responsible for previous epidemics and global health concerns.3 The nervous system has been established as a vulnerable tissue target to HCoVs.4
Various models of neuropathogenicity have attempted to explain why SARS-CoV-2, the highly pathogenic causative agent of COVID-19, has a profound affinity towards neural tissue. However, the exact underlying mechanisms of the olfactory route (neural circuit models) and the haematogenous route (cytokine storm theory), and how these translate to the neurological manifestations observed, are still under scrutiny.5,6 Proposed theories on the neuropathology of SARS-CoV-2 include neurotropic and neuroinvasive mechanisms facilitated by angio-converting enzyme-2 (virus-induced neuropathology),7,8 as well as misdirected autoimmune response leading to neuroinflammatory consequences (virus-induced neuro-immunopathology),9 which overall promote neuronal cell injury.6,10
COVID-19 initially began as an outbreak in Wuhan, China in December 2019 and the World Health Organisation declared this a pandemic in March 2020, whilst, the first case in Egypt was reported in February 2020.11,12 Clinical studies across the globe exemplify the involvement of nervous system in COVID-1913–18 and neurological manifestations such as headache, dizziness, altered mental state, cerebrovascular events, smell/taste impairment, myalgia and psychosis are frequently associated with SARS-CoV-2 infection. Other researchers have analysed if risk factors including old age, underlying chronic illness and disease severity effect the neurological outcome of COVID-19 patients.19–23
Nevertheless, insufficient COVID-19 studies have represented the North African population.24,25 This study emphasized the impact of COVID-19 in Alexandria, Egypt. The aim was to analyse the clinical findings and to identify the predictors of severity and mortality, among COVID-19 patients with nervous system clinical presentations. The clinical findings and content of this article were previously posted to the Research Square preprint server on May 13, 2022.
Study design
This single centre, retrospective case-control study was conducted from August 1st, 2020 to January 31st, 2021, on patients admitted at the COVID-19 Isolation Hospital in Alexandria University, Egypt. Patients admitted and managed at this hospital according to the guidelines of the World Health Organization (WHO) and the National Institute of Health (NIH). Patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 based on evidence for positive real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for SARS-CoV-2 using nasopharyngeal and throat samples. Neuro-COVID in-patients of both genders and all ages, categorized as moderate, severe or critical cases, were included in the study analysis. Non-Neuro-COVID patients and mild cases were excluded.
Definitions
A Neuro-COVID patient was defined as any patient with confirmed COVID-19 disease and evidence of one or more new onset nervous system clinical presentation. COVID-19 patients without any nervous system presentations and with only typical respiratory and/or other symptoms were described as Non-Neuro-COVID patients. Nervous system clinical presentations were further divided as signs and symptoms of central nervous system (CNS) involving the brain and/or spinal cord; peripheral nervous system (PNS) involving the cranial nerves and/or peripheral nerves; neuromusculoskeletal system (NMS) and psychiatric disorders (PSY). Gender was accounted as female or male and age was stratified into 5 age groups: ˂20 years; 20-39 years; 40-59 years; 60-79 years and ≥80 years. Comorbidities in patients were defined as a pre-existing chronic illness identified through past medical history and allocated as either neurological comorbidities or non-neurological comorbidities.
COVID-19 disease severity was categorized as moderate, severe and critical illness, according to the management of the patients admitted at the COVID-19 Isolation Hospital. Moderate cases were defined as patients who were monitored within the hospital wards, whereas severe cases required admission at the intensive care unit (ICU), and critical cases were indicated for intubation and mechanical ventilation. Mild cases were not admitted to this hospital and managed by home isolation. Clinical outcome was classified as either in-hospital deaths or discharges, which was identified as the end point for this study.
Data collection
Standardized data collection forms were used to obtain the patients data from medical records, including demographic data, medical history, clinical assessment and patient outcome. The required clinical findings were extracted and processed for analyses. Data ambiguities were resolved by discussion and reasoning between the authors.
Statistical analysis
Statistical functions were performed using IBM SPSS Statistics version 22.0. All the clinical findings in this study were categorical variables presented as counts (No.) and percentages (%). The distribution of clinical findings according to parameters including age, comorbidities, disease severity and mortality were compared using Chi-squared test or Fisher’s exact test (Exact, Monte Carlo, or Asymptotic P values were chosen appropriately). Univariate and multivariate analyses employed to identify the predictors of COVID-19 disease severity and mortality in the studied patients, were expressed as Odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). Selected variables with P-value <0.05 in the univariate analysis were included in multivariate analysis for adjusted models. The models used for disease severity and mortality were multinomial logistic regression and binomial logistic regression, respectively. Statistical significance was considered at P-value <0.05 for all analyses.
Clinical findings of neuro-COVID patients hospitalized at the COVID-19 isolation hospital
This hospital treated 1073 COVID-19 patients during the study period. A total of 352 patients were included in the study analyses as these patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 who presented with clinical nervous system involvement (Neuro-COVID patients). As presented in Table 1, out of the total Neuro-COVID patients, 183 (52%) were females and 169 (48%) were males. The mean age was 36.64 ± 18.97 (range 17-95) years and thus, more patients were found in the younger age group 20-39 years (193 [54.8%]), followed by 60 (17%) patients aged 40-59 years; 55 (15.6%) patients aged 60 to 79 years; 37 (10.5%) patients aged ˂20 years and only 7(2%) patients were aged 80 years or above. Almost half of the total Neuro-COVID patients (161 [45.7%]) had underlying conditions including non- neurological (155 [44%]) and neurological comorbidities (24 [6.8%]). Most common nervous system involvement was NMS (240 [68.2%]), followed by CNS (164 [46.6%]) and PNS (125 [35.5%]), whereas, PSY presentations (4 [1.1%]) were the least common. Particularly, myalgia (215 [61.1%]); anosmia (118 [33.5%]); headache (100 [28.4%]); ageusia (80 [22.7%]); altered level of consciousness (LOC) (56 [15.9%]); arthralgia (43 [12.2%]) and dizziness (12 [3.4%]) were predominant in Neuro-COVID patients. Seizure, hypogeusia, paraparesis or paraplegia were each reported in 4 (1.1%) patients, whilsd younger patients (60-79 years= 92.7%; ≥80 = 85.7%; versus 40-59 years= 66.7%; 20-39 years= 29%; <20 years= 21.6%; P <0.001). Moreover, older Neuro-COVID patients presented with increased incidences of CNS manifestations (60-79 years= 74.5%; ≥80 years= 57.1%; versus 40-59 years= 51.7%; 20-39 years= 39.9%; <20 years= 29.7%; P <0.001) and either severe state (≥80 years= 28.6%; 60-79 years= 20%; versus 40-59 years= 13.3%; 20-39 years= 4.1%; <20 years= 0%; P <0.001), or critical state (≥80 years= 57.1%; 60-79 years= 50.9%; versus 40-59 years= 18.3%; 20-39 years= 4.7%; <20 years= 0%; P <0.001). This perhaps relates to higher incidences of deaths in older patients than other age groups (≥80 years= 71.4%; 60-79 years= 43.6%; versus 40-59 years= 1t, other presentations reported in less than one percent of patients, included hemiparesis, aphasia, dysarthria, UMN facial palsy, unequal pupils, signs of meningitis, paraesthesia, faecal incontinence, urinary retention, hyposmia, blurred vision, visual hallucination, agitation, depressed mood, insomnia, suicidal thoughts and psychosis. Majority of Neuro-COVID patients were determined as moderate (271 [77%]) and there were 29 (8.2%) severe cases and 52 (14.8%) critical cases. Finally, the clinical outcome was 304 (86.4%) discharges and 48 (13.6%) deaths (Table 1).
Variable
|
Age Group (years) |
||||||
Total |
<20 |
20-39 |
40-59 |
60-79 |
≥80 |
P-value |
|
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
||
Gender |
|||||||
Female |
183 (52.0) |
18 (48.6) |
107 (55.4) |
28 (46.7) |
26 (47.3) |
4 (57.1) |
0.675 |
Male |
169 (48.0) |
19 (51.4) |
86 (44.6) |
32 (53.3) |
29 (52.7) |
3 (42.9) |
|
Comorbiditiess |
|||||||
All |
161 (45.7) |
8 (21.6) |
56 (29.0) |
40 (66.7) |
51 (92.7) |
6 (85.7) |
<0.0011 |
Neurological |
24 (6.8) |
1 (2.7) |
6 (3.1) |
4 (6.7) |
12 (21.8) |
1 (14.3) |
<0.0011 |
Stroke |
13 (3.7) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
1 (1.7) |
10 (18.2) |
1 (14.3) |
<0.0011 |
Brain/ spinal cord tumour |
5 (1.4) |
0 |
2 (1.0) |
2 (3.6) |
0 |
0 |
0.510 |
Epilepsy |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Alzheimer |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Hemiplegia |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.000 |
Cerebral palsy |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.7) |
0 |
0 |
0.450 |
Migraine |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.000 |
CVST |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.000 |
Myopathy |
2 (0.6) |
1 (2.7) |
0 |
1 (1.7) |
0 |
0 |
0.171 |
Psychiatric disorder |
3 (0.9) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
2 (3.6) |
0 |
0.176 |
Non- Neurological |
155 (44.0) |
7 (18.9) |
54 (28.0) |
40 (66.7) |
48 (87.3) |
6 (85.7) |
<0.0011 |
Hypertension |
65 (18.5) |
0 |
7 (3.6) |
21 (35.0) |
33 (60.0) |
4 (57.1) |
<0.0011 |
Diabetes |
51 (14.5) |
1 (2.7) |
4 (2.1) |
15 (25.0) |
28 (50.9) |
3 (42.9) |
<0.0011 |
Asthma |
25 (7.1) |
5 (13.5) |
12 (6.2) |
6 (10.0) |
2 (3.6) |
0 |
0.286 |
Chronic sinusitis |
12 (3.4) |
0 |
12 (6.2) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0.0451 |
Renal disease |
24 (6.8) |
0 |
0 |
9 (15.0) |
14 (25.5) |
1 (14.3) |
<0.0011 |
Cardiovascular disease |
21 (6.0) |
0 |
3 (1.6) |
3 (5.0) |
13 (23.6) |
2 (28.6) |
<0.0011 |
Malignancy |
15 (4.3) |
0 |
6 (3.1) |
5 (8.3) |
4 (7.3) |
0 |
0.161 |
Benign tumour |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.519 |
Liver disease |
11 (3.1) |
0 |
2 (1.0) |
3 (5.0) |
4 (7.3) |
2 (28.6) |
0.0011 |
Blood disorder |
9 (2.6) |
0 |
3 (1.6) |
6 (10.0) |
0 |
0 |
0.0151 |
GIT disease |
9 (2.6) |
0 |
5 (2.6) |
3 (5.0) |
0 |
1 (14.3) |
0.081 |
Rheumatic disease |
9 (2.6) |
1 (2.7) |
2 (1.0) |
4 (6.7) |
2 (3.6) |
0 |
0.177 |
Thyroid disease |
3 (0.9) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
2 (3.3) |
0 |
0 |
0.223 |
PCOS |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.000 |
Smoking |
9 (2.6) |
0 |
3 (1.6) |
1 (1.7) |
2 (3.6) |
3 (42.9) |
<0.0011 |
Substance abuse |
7 (2.0) |
0 |
3 (1.6) |
1 (1.7) |
2 (3.6) |
1 (14.3) |
0.156 |
Clinical presentations 2 |
|||||||
CNS |
164 (46.6) |
11 (29.7) |
77 (39.9) |
31 (51.7) |
41 (74.5) |
4 (57.1) |
<0.0011 |
Headache |
100 (28.4) |
11 (29.7) |
64 (33.2) |
17 (28.3) |
8 (14.5) |
0 |
0.038* |
Altered LOC |
56 (15.9) |
0 |
10 (5.2) |
14 (23.3) |
28 (5.09) |
4 (57.1) |
<0.0011 |
Dizziness |
12 (3.4) |
0 |
4 (2.1) |
3 (5.0) |
4 (7.3) |
1 (14.3) |
0.076 |
Seizure |
4 (1.1) |
0 |
0 |
2 (3.3) |
1 (1.8) |
1 (14.3) |
0.0141 |
Paraparesis/ Paraplegia |
4 (1.1) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
2 (3.3) |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.318 |
Hemiparesis |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Aphasia |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.7) |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.227 |
Dysarthria |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
0 |
2 (3.3) |
0 |
0 |
0.102 |
UMN facial palsy |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Unequal pupils |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.7) |
0 |
0 |
0.450 |
Signs of meningitis |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Paraesthesia |
3 (0.9) |
0 |
2 (1.0) |
1 (1.7) |
0 |
0 |
1.000 |
Faecal incontinence |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.519 |
Urinary retention |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1.000 |
PNS |
125 (35.5) |
22 (59.5) |
86 (44.6) |
14 (23.3) |
3 (5.5) |
0 |
<0.0011 |
Anosmia |
118 (33.5) |
22 (59.5) |
81 (42.0) |
13 (21.7) |
2 (3.6) |
0 |
<0.0011 |
Hyposmia |
3 (0.9) |
0 |
2 (1.0) |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.847 |
Ageusia |
80 (22.7) |
17 (45.9) |
56 (29.0) |
6 (10.0) |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
<0.0011 |
Hypogeusia |
4 (1.1) |
0 |
3 (1.6) |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.728 |
Blurred vision |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
1 (1.7) |
0 |
0 |
0.704 |
NMS |
240 (68.2) |
30 (81.1) |
148 (76.7) |
39 (65.0) |
20 (36.4) |
3 (42.9) |
<0.0011 |
Myalgia |
215 (61.1) |
27 (73.0) |
133 (68.9) |
34 (56.7) |
18 (32.7) |
3 (42.9) |
<0.0011 |
Arthralgia |
43 (12.2) |
6 (16.2) |
25 (13.0) |
9 (15.0) |
3 (5.5) |
0 |
0.354 |
PSY |
4 (1.1) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
2 (3.3) |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.318 |
Visual Hallucination |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.7) |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.227 |
Agitation |
2 (0.6) |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.519 |
Depressed mood |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Insomnia |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Suicidal thoughts |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.8) |
0 |
0.279 |
Psychosis |
1 (0.3) |
0 |
0 |
1 (1.7) |
0 |
0 |
0.450 |
Disease severity |
|||||||
Moderate |
271 (77.0) |
37 (100.0) |
176 (91.2) |
41 (68.3) |
16 (29.1) |
1 (14.3) |
<0.0011 |
Severe |
29 (8.2) |
0 |
8 (4.1) |
8 (13.3) |
11 (20.0) |
2 (28.6) |
<0.0011 |
Critical |
52 (14.8) |
0 |
9 (4.7) |
11 (18.3) |
28 (50.9) |
4 (57.1) |
<0.0011 |
Clinical outcome |
|||||||
Deaths |
48 (13.6) |
0 |
8 (4.1) |
11 (18.3) |
24 (43.6) |
5 (71.4) |
<0.0011 |
Discharges |
304 (86.4) |
37 (100.0) |
185 (95.9) |
49 (81.7) |
31 (56.4) |
2 (28.6) |
Table 1 Distribution of clinical findings amongst Neuro-COVID patients with different ages
CVST, cerebral venous sinus thrombosis; GIT, gastrointestinal tract; PCOS, polycystic ovary syndrome; CNS, central nervous system; LOC, loss of consciousness; UMN, upper motor neuron; PNS, peripheral nervous system; NMS, neuromusculoskeletal; PSY, psychiatric.
1P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
2Patients were not mutually exclusive within this variable.
Clinical findings according to age
Since Neuro-COVID patients were stratified into 5 age groups, patients below 40 years were determined as young and those 60 years or above as older patients, whilst those in between were middle aged. Table 1 shows that there were no significant differences between the age groups for females and males. More older patients had a history of comorbidities compared to the middle aged an8.3%; 20-39 years= 4.1%; <20 years= 0%; P <0.001). On the contrary, younger Neuro-COVID patients had more PNS manifestations (<20 years= 59.5%; 20-39 years= 44.6%; versus 40-59 years= 23.3%; 60-79 years= 5.5%; ≥80 years= 0%; P <0.001) and NMS manifestations (<20 years= 81.1%; 20-39 years= 76.7%; versus 40-59 years= 65%; 60-79 years= 36.4%; ≥80 years= 42.9%; P <0.001), and since the majority were moderate cases (<20 years= 100%; 20-39 years= 91.2%; versus 40-59 years= 68.3%; 60-79 years= 29.1%; ≥80 years= 14.3%; P <0.001), they were more commonly discharged (<20 years= 100%; 20-39 years= 95.9%; versus 40-59 years= 81.7%; 60-79 years= 56.4%; ≥80 years= 28.6%; P <0.001) (Table 1).
Clinical findings according to comorbidities
It is evident in Table 1 that, out of the total Neuro-COVID patients, the most common comorbidities were hypertension (65 [18.5%]), diabetes (51 [50.9%]), asthma (25 [7.1%]), renal disease (24 [6.8%]), cardiovascular disease (21 [6%]), stroke (18.2%), malignancy (15 [4.3%]) and liver disease (11 [3.1%]). Table 2 shows that gender was not significantly distributed amongst Neuro-COVID patients with comorbidities. Age groups 40-59 years (with= 24.8% versus without= 10.5%; P <0.001) and 60-79 years (with= 31.7% versus without= 2.1%; P <0.001) had significantly more patients with comorbidities than without any comorbidities. Presence of comorbidities was more frequent in patients with CNS findings (with= 58.4% versus without= 36.6%; P <0.001), and less frequent in patients with PNS findings (with= 25.5% versus without= 44%; P <0.001) and NMS findings (with= 57.2% versus without= 77.5%; P <0.001). COVID-19 disease severity and outcome amongst the patients presenting with nervous system manifestations seem to be influenced by the presence comorbidities, as majority of cases with comorbidities warranted critical care attention (with= 28.0% versus without= 3.7%; P<0.001) and died in hospital (with= 26.7% versus without= 2.8%; P<0.001) (Table 2).
Variable |
Comorbidities |
||
with comorbidities |
Without comorbidities |
P -value |
|
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
||
Gender |
|||
Female |
84 (52.2) |
99 (51.8) |
0.949 |
Male |
77 (47.8) |
92 (48.2) |
|
Age group (years) |
|||
<20 |
8 (5.0) |
29 (15.2) |
0.0021 |
20-39 |
56 (34.8) |
137 (71.7) |
<0.0011 |
40-59 |
40 (24.8) |
20 (10.5) |
<0.0011 |
60-79 |
51 (31.7) |
4 (2.1) |
<0.0011 |
≥80 |
6 (3.7) |
1 (0.5) |
0.051 |
Clinical presentation 2 |
|||
CNS |
94 (58.4) |
70 (36.6) |
<0.0011 |
Headache |
42 (26.1) |
58 (30.4) |
0.375 |
Altered level LOC |
45 (28.0) |
11 (5.8) |
<0.0011 |
Dizziness |
9 (5.6) |
3 (1.6) |
0.0381 |
Seizure |
4 (2.5) |
0 |
0.0431 |
Paraparesis/ Paraplegia |
4 (2.5) |
0 |
0.0431 |
Hemiparesis |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Aphasia |
2 (1.2) |
0 |
0.208 |
Dysarthria |
2 (1.2) |
0 |
0.208 |
UMN facial palsy |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Unequal pupils |
0 |
1 (0.5) |
1.000 |
Signs of meningitis |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Paraesthesia |
2 (1.2) |
1 (0.5) |
0.595 |
Faecal incontinence |
2 (1.2) |
0 |
0.208 |
Urinary retention |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
PNS |
41 (25.5) |
84 (44.0) |
<0.0011 |
Anosmia |
36 (22.4) |
82 (42.9) |
<0.0011 |
Hyposmia |
1 (0.6) |
2 (1.0) |
1.000 |
Ageusia |
22 (13.7) |
58 (30.4) |
<0.0011 |
Hypogeusia |
1 (0.6) |
3 (1.6) |
0.628 |
Blurred vision |
2 (1.2) |
0 |
0.208 |
NMS |
92 (57.2) |
148 (77.5) |
<0.0011 |
Myalgia |
84 (52.2) |
131 (68.6) |
0.0021 |
Arthralgia |
18 (11.2) |
25 (13.1) |
0.586 |
PSY |
3 (1.9) |
1 (0.5) |
0.336 |
Visual Hallucination |
2 (1.2) |
0 |
0.208 |
Agitation |
1 (0.6) |
1 (0.5) |
1.000 |
Depressed mood |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Insomnia |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Suicidal thoughts |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Psychosis |
1 (0.6) |
0 |
0.457 |
Disease severity |
|||
Moderate |
92 (57.1) |
179 (93.7) |
<0.0011 |
Severe |
24 (14.9) |
5 (2.6) |
<0.0011 |
Critical |
45 (28.0) |
7 (3.7) |
<0.0011 |
Clinical outcome |
|||
Deaths |
43 (26.7) |
5 (2.8) |
<0.0011 |
Discharges |
118 (73.3) |
186 (97.4) |
Table 2 Distribution of clinical findings amongst Neuro-COVID patients with comorbidities
CVST, cerebral venous sinus thrombosis; GIT, gastrointestinal tract; PCOS, polycystic ovary syndrome; CNS, central nervous system; LOC, loss of consciousness; UMN, upper motor neuron; PNS, peripheral nervous system; NMS, neuromusculoskeletal; PSY, psychiatric
1P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
2Patients were not mutually exclusive within this variable.
Clinical findings according to disease severity
As shown in Table 3, the distribution of Neuro-COVID females and males was not significant across the spectrum of moderate (M), severe (S) and critical (C) cases. Majority of moderate cases were found in the age group 20-39 years (M= 64.9% versus S= 27.6%; C= 17.3%; P<0.001). Severe and critical cases were highest in the age group 60-79 years (M= 5.9% versus S= 37.9%; C= 53.8%; P<0.001).Critical cases accounted for significantly higher reports of hypertension (44.2%), diabetes (36.5%), renal disease (26.9%), cardiovascular disease (15.4%), stroke (15.4%), liver disease (15.4%), malignancy (13.5%), substance abuse (9.6%) and brain tumours (3.8%), than other cases with comorbidities (M= 33.9%; S= 82.8% versus C= 86.5%; P<0.001). CNS findings were more commonly exhibited in critical cases than severe and moderate (M= 38% versus S= 58.6%; C= 84.6%; P<0.001), yet vice versa for PNS findings (M= 43.9% versus S= 17.2%; C= 1.9%; P<0.001) and NMS findings (M= 76.8% versus S= 55.2%; C= 30.8%; P<0.001). Altered LOC was a serious CNS presentation since the highest frequency was observed within critical patients (73.1%), however, headache was most common amongst moderate patients (32.5%) instead of critical. Anosmia (42.1%), ageusia (28.8%), myalgia (68.6%) and arthralgia (14.8%) could be considered less serious presentations mainly exhibiting in moderate cases. Interestingly, albeit presenting at low frequencies, hyposmia (1.1%) and hypgeusia (1.5%) were only found within moderate cases; dysarthria (6.9%) and blurred vision (6.9%) were only found within severe cases; and faecal incontinence was only found within critical cases. All PSY findings ((M= 0%; S= 13.8%; C= 0%; P<0.001) were observed amongst severe cases. Seventy-eight percent of critical cases died as compared to 24% of severe cases, while 100% of moderate cases were discharged, and this distribution was statistically significant (P<0.001) (Table 3).
Predictors of severity
Table 3 demonstrates that age group 20-39 years, as well as, absence of stroke, hypertension, diabetes, renal disease, cardiac disease, malignancy and altered LOC were predictors revealed to be significantly associated with lower odds of severity in univariate logistic regressions comparing severe to moderate and critical to moderate cases, whereas, higher odds of severity were associated with absence of anosmia and myalgia in both univariate comparisons. Additionally, univariate logistic regression for critical compared to moderate cases identified female gender (OR 2.07; CI 1.11-3.88; P= 0.022) as a predictor with increased odds of severity. In the severe to moderate multivariate logistic regression, those aged 20-29 years were found to have a low risk of severity independently (adjusted OR 0.02; CI 0.002-0.28; P= 0.003) when model was adjusted for age group; neurological and non- neurological comorbidities; CNS, PNS and NMS presentations. When comparing critical to moderate cases, after adjustment for gender; age group; neurological and non- neurological comorbidities; CNS, PNS and NMS presentations, multivariate logistic regression confirmed that females, age group 20-39 years and absence of non-neurological comorbidities were significant independent predictors of severity in Neuro-COVID patients. Females were twice as more likely to be critical than moderate (adjusted OR 2.67; CI 1.10-6.48; P= 0.030). Patients aged 20 - 39 years ([absence] adjusted OR 0.04; CI 0.003-0.62; P= 0.021) and those without non-neurological comorbidities ([absence] adjusted OR 0.14; CI 0.05-0.41; P < 0.001) exhibited lower risks of being critical than moderate. Moreover, CNS presentation was not an independent predictor of severity, unlike patients admitted with PNS manifestations ([absence] adjusted OR 19.54; CI 2.30-166.09; P= 0.006) and NMS manifestations ([absence] adjusted OR 4.35; CI 1.47-12.87; P= 0.008) complaints with less likelihood, 1/20 and ¼, respectively, to present as critical cases than moderate (Table 3).
Clinical findings according to outcome
Figure 1 summaries the patient outcome indicating that the death rate was relatively higher in Neuro-COVID cases (13.6%) as compared to Non-Neuro-COVID cases (12.2%). Table 4 shows that out of 48 Neuro-COVID deaths, 28 (58.3%) females and 20 (41.7%) males died, although this was not statistically significant (P=0.344). Half of the patients who died were aged 60-79 years (deaths= 50% versus discharges= 10.2%; P <0.001) and majority of those discharged were 20-39 years (deaths= 16.7% versus discharges= 60.9%; P <0.001). Patients with underlying comorbidities faced more deaths than discharges (deaths= 89.6% versus discharges= 38.8%; P <0.001). Table 5 indicates that different parts of nervous system involved had a significant role on COVID outcome because more patients having CNS findings were found dead (deaths= 81.3% versus discharges= 41.1%; P <0.001), whereas, merely few incidences of death were amongst those with PNS involvement (deaths= 2.1% versus discharges= 40.8%; P <0.001) and NMS involvement (deaths= 33.3% versus discharge = 73.7%; P <0.001). Inevitably, death rates were predominant in patients determined severe (deaths= 14.2% versus discharges= 7.2%; P <0.001) and critical (deaths= 85.4% versus discharges= 3.6%; P <0.001) as seen in Table 6.
Figure 1 Flowchart showing the distribution of patients admitted to the COVID-19 Isolation Hospital.
Variable |
Clinical Outcome |
Deaths 1 |
|||||
Deaths (n= 48) |
Discharges (n= 304) |
P-value |
UVA2 |
P-value |
MVA3 |
P-value |
|
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
OR (95% CI) |
OR (95% CI) |
||||
Gender |
|||||||
Female |
28 (58.3) |
155 (51.0s) |
0.344 |
1.35 (0.73-2.49) |
0.345 |
- |
|
Male4 |
20 (41.7) |
149 (49.0) |
Ref |
- |
|||
Age group (years) |
|||||||
<20 |
0 |
37 (12.2) |
0.0115 |
- |
- |
||
20-39 |
8 (16.7) |
185 (60.9) |
<0.0015 |
0.02 (0.003 - 0.10) |
<0.0015 |
0.19 (0.009 - 3.72) |
0.271 |
40-59 |
11 (22.9) |
49 (16.1) |
0.244 |
0.09 (0.02 - 0.53) |
0.0075 |
0.24 (0.01 - 4.58) |
0.339 |
60-79 |
24 (50.0) |
31 (10.2) |
<0.0015 |
0.31 (0.06 - 1.74) |
0.183 |
0.13 (0.007 - 2.27) |
0.161 |
≥804 |
5 (10.4) |
2 (0.7) |
0.0015 |
Ref |
Ref |
||
Comorbidities 6 |
|||||||
All |
43 (89.6) |
118 (38.8) |
<0.0015 |
13.56 (5.22 - 35.21) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Neurological |
10 (20.8) |
14 (4.6) |
<0.0015 |
5.45 (2.26 - 13.13) |
<0.0015 |
0.71 (0.17 - 3.07) |
0.650 |
Stroke |
6 (12.5) |
7 (2.3) |
0.0045 |
6.06 (1.94 - 18.90) |
0.0025 |
- |
|
Brain/ spinal cord tumour |
2 (4.2) |
3 (1.0) |
0.139 |
4.36 (0.71 - 26.81) |
0.112 |
- |
|
Epilepsy |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
Alzheimer |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
Hemiplegia |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Cerebral palsy |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
Migraine |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
CVST |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Myopathy |
1 (2.1) |
1 (0.3) |
0.254 |
6.45 (0.40 - 104.83) |
0.190 |
- |
|
Psychiatric disorder |
1 (2.1) |
2 (0.7) |
0.357 |
3.21 (0.29 - 36.13) |
0.345 |
- |
|
Non- Neurological |
43 (89.6) |
112 (38.8) |
<0.0015 |
14.74 (5.67 - 38.31) |
<0.0015 |
4.27 - (0.89 - 20.44) |
0.069 |
Hypertension |
22 (45.8) |
43 (14.1) |
<0.0015 |
5.14 (2.67 - 9.87) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Diabetes |
18 (37.5) |
33 (10.9) |
<0.0015 |
4.93 (2.48 - 9.80) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Asthma |
0 |
25 (8.2) |
0.0345 |
- |
- |
||
Chronic sinusitis |
0 |
12 (3.9) |
0.383 |
- |
- |
||
Renal disease |
13 (27.1) |
11 (3.6) |
<0.0015 |
9.90 (4.12 - 23.76) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Cardiovascular disease |
9 (18.8) |
12 (3.9) |
0.0015 |
5.62 (2.22 - 14.18) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Malignancy |
10 (20.8) |
5 (1.6) |
<0.0015 |
15.74 (5.11 - 48.49) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Benign tumour |
0 |
2 (0.7) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Liver disease |
7 (14.6) |
4 (1.3) |
<0.0015 |
12.81 (3.59 - 45.65) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Blood disorders |
3 (6.3) |
6 (2.0) |
0.110 |
3.31 (0.80 - 13.71) |
0.099 |
- |
|
GIT disease |
2 (4.2) |
7 (2.3) |
0.353 |
1.85 (0.37 - 9.15) |
0.454 |
- |
|
Rheumatic disease |
4 (8.3) |
5 (1.6) |
0.0235 |
5.44 (1.41 - 21.02) |
0.0145 |
- |
|
Thyroid disease |
0 |
3 (1.0) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
PCOS |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Smoking |
5 (10.4) |
4 (1.3) |
0.0035 |
8.72 (2.25 - 33.74) |
0.0025 |
- |
|
Substance abuse |
5 (10.4) |
2 (0.7) |
0.0015 |
17.56 (3.30 - 93.33) |
0.0015 |
- |
Table 4 Distribution of clinical findings for outcome and predictors of mortalities amongst Neuro-COVID patients - Demographics and Comorbidities
CVST, cerebral venous sinus thrombosis; GIT, gastrointestinal tract; PCOS, polycystic ovary syndrome; UVA, univariate analysis; MVA, multivariate analysis; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref, reference.
1Comparing deaths to discharges
2Variables with frequency= 0 were not included in UVA.
3Selected variables with UVA P-value <0.05 were included in MVA; MVA adjusted for age group, neurological comorbidities, non-neurological comorbidities, CNS presentations, PNS presentations, NMS presentations, disease severity; using multinomial logistic regression model.
4Reference category for UVA and MVA within this group variable; all other variables were dichotomous (Presence versus Absence); Absence= reference category, Presence= tabulated OR (95% CI).
5P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
6Patients were not mutually exclusive within this variable.
Variable |
Clinical Outcome |
Deaths 1 |
|||||
Deaths (n = 48) |
Discharges (n = 304) |
P-value |
UVA2 |
P-value |
MVA3 |
P-value |
|
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
OR (95% CI) |
OR (95% CI) |
||||
Clinical presentations 4 |
|||||||
CNS |
39 (81.3) |
125 (41.1) |
<0.0015 |
6.21 (2.90 - 13.27) |
<0.0015 |
0.70 (0.10 - 4.80) |
0.717 |
Headache |
7 (14.6) |
93 (30.6) |
0.0225 |
0.39 (0.17 - 0.90) |
0.0275 |
- |
|
Altered level of consciousness |
32 (66.7) |
24 (7.9) |
<0.0015 |
23.33 (11.24 - 48.45) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Dizziness |
3 (6.3) |
9 (3.0) |
0.216 |
2.19 (0.57 - 8.38) |
0.254 |
- |
|
Seizure |
2 (4.2) |
2 (0.7) |
0.091 |
6.57 (0.90 - 47.76) |
0.063 |
- |
|
Paraparesis/ Paraplegia |
3 (6.3) |
1 (0.3) |
0.0095 |
20.20 (2.06 - 198.43) |
0.0105 |
- |
|
Hemiparesis |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
Aphasia |
2 (4.2) |
0 |
0.0185 |
- |
- |
||
Dysarthria |
1 (2.1) |
1 (0.3) |
0.254 |
6.45 (0.40 - 104.83) |
0.190 |
- |
|
UMN facial palsy |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
Unequal pupils |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
Signs of meningitis |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Paraesthesia |
1 (2.1) |
2 (0.7) |
0.357 |
3.21 (0.27 - 36.13) |
0.345 |
- |
|
Faecal incontinence |
2 (4.2) |
0 |
0.0185 |
- |
- |
||
Urinary retention |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
||
PNS |
1 (2.1) |
124 (40.8) |
<0.0015 |
0.03 (0.004 - 0.23) |
0.0015 |
0.25 (0.02 - 4.01) |
0.330 |
Anosmia |
1 (2.1) |
117 (38.5) |
<0.0015 |
0.03 (0.005 - 0.25) |
0.0015 |
- |
|
Hyposmia |
0 |
3 (1.0) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Ageusia |
0 |
80 (26.3) |
<0.0015 |
- |
- |
||
Hypogeusia |
0 |
4 (1.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Blurred vision |
0 |
2 (0.7) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
NMS |
16 (33.3) |
224 (73.7) |
<0.0015 |
0.18 (0.09 - 0.34) |
<0.0015 |
0.65 (0.12 - 3.46) |
0.613 |
Myalgia |
15 (31.3) |
200 (65.8) |
<0.0015 |
0.24 (0.12 - 0.46) |
<0.0015 |
- |
|
Arthralgia |
2 (4.2) |
41 (13.5) |
0.067 |
0.28 (0.07 - 1.19) |
0.085 |
- |
|
PSY |
2 (4.2) |
2 (0.7) |
0.091 |
6.57 (0.90 - 47.76) |
0.063 |
- |
|
Visual Hallucination |
1 (2.1) |
1 (0.3) |
0.254 |
6.45 (0.40 - 104.83) |
0.190 |
- |
|
Agitation |
0 |
2 (0.7) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Depressed mood |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Insomnia |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Suicidal thoughts |
0 |
1 (0.3) |
1.000 |
- |
- |
||
Psychosis |
1 (2.1) |
0 |
0.136 |
- |
- |
Table 5 Distribution of clinical findings for outcome and predictors of mortalities amongst Neuro-COVID patients - Clinical presentations
Abbreviations: CNS, central nervous system; LOC, loss of consciousness; UMN, upper motor neuron; PNS, peripheral nervous system; NMS, neuromusculoskeletal; PSY, psychiatric; UVA, univariate analysis; MVA, multivariate analysis; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref, reference.
1Comparing deaths to discharges.
2Variables with frequency= 0 were not included in UVA.
3Selected variables with UVA P-value <0.05 were included in MVA; MVA adjusted for age group, neurological comorbidities, non-neurological comorbidities, CNS presentations, PNS presentations, NMS presentations, disease severity; using multinomial logistic regression model.
4Patients were not mutually exclusive within this variable.
5P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Variable |
Clinical outcome |
Deaths 1 |
|||||
Deaths (n= 48) |
Discharges (n= 304) |
P-value |
UVA2 |
P-value |
MVA3 |
P-value |
|
No. (%) |
No. (%) |
OR (95% CI) |
OR (95% CI) |
||||
Disease severity |
|||||||
Moderate |
0 |
271 (89.1) |
<0.0015 |
- |
- |
||
Severe4 |
7 (14.6) |
22 (7.2) |
0.093 |
Ref |
Ref |
||
Critical |
41 (85.4) |
11 (3.6) |
<0.0015 |
11.71 (3.98 - 34.49) |
<0.0015 |
12.06 (3.41 - 42.64) |
<0.005 |
Table 6 Distribution of clinical findings for outcome and predictors of mortalities amongst Neuro-COVID patients - Severity
UVA, univariate analysis; MVA, multivariate analysis; OR, odds ratio; CI, confidence interval; Ref, reference.
1Comparing deaths to discharges.
2Variables with frequency= 0 were not included in UVA.
3Selected variables with UVA P-value <0.05 were included in MVA; MVA adjusted for age group, neurological comorbidities, non-neurological comorbidities, CNS presentations, PNS presentations, NMS presentations, disease severity; using multinomial logistic regression model.
4Reference category for UVA and MVA within this group variable; all other variables were dichotomous (Presence versus Absence); Absence= reference category, Presence= tabulated OR (95% CI).
5P-value <0.05 was considered statistically significant.
Predictors of mortality
It is evident in Table 4–6 that univariate logistic regression demonstrates significant predictors of mortality in Neuro-COVID patients with increased the risk of death included, any comorbidities (OR 13.56; CI 5.22-35.21; P <0.001); neurological comorbidities (OR 5.45; CI 2.26-13.13; P <0.001) specifically stroke (OR 6.06; CI 1.94-18.90; P= 0.002); non-neurological comorbidities (OR 14.74; CI 5.67-38.31; P <0.001) including hypertension (OR 5.14; CI 2.67-9.87; P <0.001), diabetes (OR 4.93; CI 2.48-9.80; P <0.001), renal disease (OR 9.90; CI 4.12-23.76; P <0.001), cardiovascular disease (OR 5.62; CI 2.22-14.18; P <0.001), malignancy (OR 15.74; CI 5.11-48.49; P <0.001), liver disease (OR 12.81; CI 3.59-45.65; P <0.001), rheumatic disease (OR 5.44; CI 1.41-21.02; P =0.014), smoking (OR 8.72; CI 2.25-33.74; P= 0.002) and substance abuse (OR 17.56; CI 3.30-93.33; P= 0.001); CNS presentations (OR 6.21; CI 2.90-13.27; P <0.001) particularly altered LOC (OR 23.33; CI 11.24-48.45; P <0.001) and paraparesis/paraplegia (OR 20.20; CI 2.06-198.43; P= 0.010); and disease severity (OR 11.71; CI 3.98-34.49; P <0.001). Age group 20-39 years (OR 0.02; CI 0.003-0.10; P <0.001) and 40-59 years (OR 0.09; CI 0.02-0.53; P= 0.007); headache (OR 0.39; CI 0.17-0.90; P= 0.027); PNS findings (OR 0.03; CI 0.004-0.23; P <0.001) mainly anosmia (OR 0.03; CI 0.005-0.25; P <0.001), as well as NMS findings (OR 0.18; CI 0.09-0.34; P <0.001) mainly myalgia (OR 0.24; CI 0.12-0.46; P <0.001) were significant predictors found to decrease the risk of mortality. None of PSY findings were predictors of mortality. Multivariate logistic regression was adjusted for age group; neurological and non- neurological comorbidities; CNS, PNS and NMS presentations and disease severity. However, only disease severity emerged as the significant predictor of mortality in Neuro-COVID patients independent to other variables, emphasizing that critical cases with nervous system presentations manifested 12 times higher risk of death (adjusted OR 12.06; CI3.41-42.64; P <0.001) when compared to severe cases (Table 6). Table 7 summarizes the statistically significant clinical findings amongst Neuro-COVID patients.
Variable |
Clinical findings (n= 352) |
|||||||||||
Comorbidities |
Disease severity |
Clinical outcome |
||||||||||
With (%) |
Without (%) |
Moderate (%) |
Severe (%) |
Critical (%) |
Deaths (%) |
Discharges (%) |
||||||
Age Group (years) |
||||||||||||
<20 |
5.01 |
15.21 |
13.71 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12.21 |
|||||
20-39 |
34.81 |
71.71 |
64.91 |
27.61 |
17.31 |
16.71 |
60.91 |
|||||
40-59 |
24.81 |
10.51 |
15.11 |
27.61 |
21.21 |
22.9 |
16.1 |
|||||
60-79 |
31.71 |
2.11 |
5.91 |
37.91 |
53.81 |
50.01 |
10.21 |
|||||
≥80 |
3.7 |
0.5 |
0.41 |
6.91 |
7.71 |
10.41 |
0.71 |
|||||
Comorbidities2 |
||||||||||||
Neurological |
- |
- |
2.61 |
17.21 |
23.11 |
20.81 |
4.61 |
|||||
Non- Neurological |
- |
- |
32.81 |
72.41 |
86.51 |
89.61 |
38.81 |
|||||
Clinical presentations 2 |
||||||||||||
CNS |
58.41 |
36.61 |
38.01 |
58.61 |
84.61 |
81.31 |
41.11 |
|||||
PNS |
25.51 |
44.01 |
43.91 |
17.21 |
1.91 |
2.11 |
40.81 |
|||||
NMS |
57.21 |
77.51 |
76.81 |
55.21 |
30.81 |
33.31 |
73.71 |
|||||
PSY |
1.9 |
0.5 |
0 |
13.81 |
0 |
4.2 |
0.7 |
|||||
Disease severity |
||||||||||||
Moderate |
57.11 |
93.71 |
- |
- |
- |
0 |
89.11 |
|||||
Severe |
14.91 |
2.61 |
- |
- |
- |
14.6 |
7.2 |
|||||
Critical |
28.01 |
3.71 |
- |
- |
- |
85.41 |
3.61 |
|||||
Clinical outcome |
||||||||||||
Deaths |
26.71 |
2.81 |
0 |
24.11 |
78.81 |
- |
- |
|||||
Discharges |
73.31 |
97.41 |
100.01 |
75.91 |
21.21 |
- |
- |
|||||
|
||||||||||||
Variable (Predictor) |
Predictors of Severity and Mortality |
|||||||||||
Severe 3 |
Critical 4 |
Deaths 5 |
||||||||||
Univariate (OR) |
Multivariate (OR) |
Univariate (OR) |
Multivariate (OR) |
Univariate (OR) |
Multivariate (OR) |
|||||||
Gender |
||||||||||||
Female |
0.82 |
- |
2.071 |
2.671 |
1.351 |
- |
||||||
Male |
Ref 6 |
- |
Ref 6 |
- |
Ref 7 |
- |
||||||
Age Group (years) |
||||||||||||
<20 |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||
20-39 |
0.021 |
0.041 |
0.011 |
0.041 |
0.021 |
0.19 |
||||||
40-59 |
0.10 |
0.10 |
0.071 |
0.08 |
0.091 |
0.24 |
||||||
60-79 |
0.34 |
0.22 |
0.44 |
0.26 |
0.31 |
0.13 |
||||||
≥806 |
Ref 6 |
Ref 6 |
Ref 6 |
Ref 6 |
Ref 7 |
Ref 7 |
||||||
Comorbidities2 |
||||||||||||
Neurological |
0.131 |
0.27 |
0.091 |
0.30 |
5.451 |
0.71 |
||||||
Non- Neurological |
0.171 |
0.40 |
0.081 |
0.141 |
14.741 |
4.27 |
||||||
Clinical presentations 2 |
||||||||||||
CNS |
0.0431 |
0.87 |
0.111 |
0.47 |
6.211 |
0.70 |
||||||
PNS |
3.761 |
2.19 |
39.931 |
19.541 |
0.031 |
0.25 |
||||||
NMS |
2.681 |
1.90 |
7.431 |
4.351 |
0.181 |
0.65 |
||||||
PSY |
- |
- |
- |
- |
6.57 |
- |
||||||
Disease severity |
||||||||||||
Moderate |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
- |
||||||
Severe |
- |
- |
- |
- |
Ref 7 |
Ref 7 |
||||||
Critical |
- |
- |
- |
- |
11.71 |
12.06 |
Table 7 Summary of statistically significant clinical findings amongst Neuro-COVID patients
Abbreviations: CNS, central nervous system; PNS, peripheral nervous system; NMS, neuromusculoskeletal; PSY, psychiatric; OR, odds ratio; Ref, reference
1P-value was <0.05 and considered statistically significant.
2Patients were not mutually exclusive within this variable.
3Comparing severe cases to moderate cases; OR tabulated; refer to Table 3 for 95% confidence interval.
4Comparing critical cases to moderate cases; OR tabulated; refer to Table 3 for 95% confidence interval.
5Comparing deaths to discharges; OR tabulated; refer to Table 4 for 95% confidence interval.
6Reference category for univariate analysis and multivariate analysis within this group variable; all other variables were dichotomous (Presence versus Absence); Presence= reference category, Absence= tabulated OR.
7Reference category for univariate analysis and multivariate analysis within this group variable; all other variables were dichotomous (Presence versus Absence); Absence= reference category, Presence= tabulated OR.
Two SARS-CoV-2 genome sequences were isolated in Egypt, contributing to the discovery of multiple strains of this evolving virus, which perhaps reflects upon how the course of the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has been fluctuating.26 Therefore interpreting the neuropathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2 was key to explaining how the direct and indirect interactions between SARS-CoV-2 and the nervous system at tissue level, manifested as neurological presentations in COVID-19 patients, varying across different study populations worldwide (Figure 2).6,7,10
Figure 2 Schematic diagram illustrating the neuropathogenic pathways of SARS-CoV-2.
CNS, central nervous system; PNS, peripheral nervous system; NMS, neuromusculoskeletal; PSY, psychiatric.
The present study, conducted in Alexandria, Egypt during the second half of the pandemic in 2020, observed that the 32.8% (352/1073) of total patients admitted were Neuro-COVID patients. Raffino et al.13 reported that 7.78% (137/1760) COVID-19 patients had neurological presentations in Bergamo, Italy, compared to 36.4% (78/214) in Wuhan, China as described by Mao et al.,16 and although they were short duration studies, both took place during the initial wave of pandemic that engulfed these regions explaining the high influx of cases. Another Egyptian study conducted at Assiut and Aswan University Hospitals by Khedr et al.25 reported that 50.6% (222/439) COVID-19 patients had neurological manifestations, whereas 45.1% (466/1034) Neuro- COVID patients were reported in a Tunisian study by Kacem et al.,24 both showing higher rates of nervous system involvement than the present study cohort.
Mao et al.16 reported CNS findings as most common (24.8%). The current study showed that the NMS (68.2%), were the most common part of nervous system involved in COVID-19 patients, followed by CNS (46.6%) and PNS (35.5%). Regarding the PSY presentations, only few patients (1.1%) were observed in the present study, perhaps since psychiatric evaluation was not a routine assessment for all patients admitted with COVID-19, unless indicated by past medical history, in contrast to other reports of higher frequencies of psychosis (26%) in Varatharaj et al..14 and anxiety (6.7%) in Khedr et al.25
Most of the neurological clinical findings in the present study were consistent with previous studies including system reviews. Headache, dizziness, myalgia and arthralgia were considered non-specific neurological complaints, therefore, although these findings were predominant, they cannot be depended on when assessing COVID-19 prognosis.25,27,28
Fifty-six (15.9%) patients presented to the hospital with altered level of consciousness and were tested positive for SARS-CoV-2. This specific CNS manifestation was found to be associated with poor prognosis in the present study, as 73.1% were critical, highlighting that altered level of consciousness (LOC) should be considered a red flag finding in COVID-19. This is supported by Varatharaj et al.14 who reported 39 (31%) cases with altered mental status. Moreover, Rifino et al.13 diagnosed the cause of altered mental state in 49 (35.8%) patients using cerebrospinal fluid analysis and computer topography. The basic pathophysiology can be attributed to hypoxic state in Neuro-COVID patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome, depriving the brain from adequate oxygen levels.18 Recent theory states that SARS-CoV 2 is capable of upregulating the neuro-inflammatory pathways and degrading the basement membrane to cross the blood brain barrier via transcytosis, which explains the altered LOC ranging from somnolence to complete loss of consciousness as reported within this study.6
The olfactory route of SARS-CoV-2 explains the high frequencies of anosmia (118.33.5%) and ageusia (80.22.7%) observed in the present study. The proximity of the olfactory neural circuit to respiratory droplets containing the virus, properties of viral neurotropism and direct interaction between virus particles and receptors on neural cells are factors identified as causes of direct injury of the olfactory nerve and impairment.5 Garg et al.17 found 24.5% anosmia and 33.1% ageusia in their case series. Similar results were reported by Kacemet al.24 that had further analysed the rate of complete recovery from these chemosensory impairments (72.1% after anosmia and 76.8% after ageusia). Neuro-COVID patients with smell and taste impairments in the present cohort were mainly characterized as young and moderate cases, discharged without requiring intensive COVID-19 management, suggesting that PNS manifestations has better disease prognosis.
Although, stroke (18.2%) was identified, in the current study, as one of the pre-existing comorbidities before SARS-CoV-2 infection, other studies reported cerebrovascular events, as new onset manifestations of COVID-19.14–16,18,25 Pre-existing neurological conditions are associated with higher risks of developing new onset neurological COVID-19 manifestations.29
The review by Abdelaziz and Waffa10 advised that recognising significant risk factors was important to manage COVID-19 patients adequately. Multivariate analysis in the present study identified female Neuro-COVID patients as twice as more likely to be critical than moderate, which agrees with García-Azorínet al.19 who confirmed that females, age and diabetes were significant risk factor for COVID-19 severity. Also, analysing the present cohort revealed disease severity as a new statistically significant risk factor for mortality. Critical cases with nervous system presentations manifested 12 times higher risk of death when compared to severe cases. Since most critically ill Neuro-COVID patients in this study presented with CNS manifestations (84.6%), it can be hypothesised that brain damage, brain herniation, invasive treatment, prolonged mechanical ventilation and exacerbated underlying comorbidities were the causes of death in these patients.30
Eskandar et al.20 emphasised that old age and hypertension were risk factors for mortality, whereas, Salahuddin et al.22 identified age as a predictor of mortality. These risk factors can be applied to assess immediate neurological prognosis of COVID-19; however, a greater sample size would provide profound results from multivariate analysis.
Certain strengths and weakness were highlighted during this present clinical research. Prolonged study period (6 months) and exposure to large population (1073 cases reviewed), enabled a profound analysis of the studied cohort. Therefore, it is one of the few North African studies to present substantial evidence for a wide range of nervous system findings in COVID-19 patients, and the first Alexandrian study to analyse potential predictors of COVID-19 severity and mortality. Limitations were mainly attributed to the study design. Since this was a single centre study, the findings were confined to a less diverse population. The retrospective design had limited access to follow-up patient data, required to identify long term neurological sequela of the disease and impact of the pandemic. A multi-centre prospective study should be considered to reflect a wider cohort and analyse the follow-up of discharged patients. Moreover, this study focuses on clinical findings and recommends extended analysis on laboratory and radiological data, as well as treatment protocols.
This in-patient cohort represents COVID-19 in Alexandria and confirms that nervous system involvement is predominant with SARS-CoV-2 infection and is clinically significant. The most involvement in patients hospitalized with COVID-19 exhibiting neurological manifestations (Neuro-COVID patients) was NMS, followed by CNS and then PNS, whereas PSY was the least common. Frequent neurological findings reported were myalgia/arthralgia, anosmia/ageusia, headache, and dizziness. Moreover, altered LOC was a serious CNS presentation since the highest frequency was observed within critical patients Strikingly, more patients were found in the younger age group 20-39 years than older age groups. Majority of cases with comorbidities were determined as critical cases. Inevitably, death rates were predominant in patients determined severe and critical. On the other hand, all moderate cases were discharged. Female gender, young age group, absence of non-neurological comorbidities and PNS/NMS presentations were independent predictors of COVID-19 severity. Disease severity was identified as an independent predictor of mortality in Neuro-COVID patients. The CNS and PSY presentations did not significantly predict disease severity nor mortality. Overall, Neuro-COVID patients had higher death rates. Future regional multicentre research should elucidate the long-term neurological outcomes and complications of COVID-19 in Egypt.
Ethics approval and consent to participate
This study was conducted with the approval of the review board of the Ethics Committee of the Faculty of Medicine, Alexandria University. Informed consents were obtained from all individual participants included in the study.
Consent for publication
Human research participants provided informed consent for publication of their data.
Availability of data and materials
The datasets used and/or analysed during the current study are available from the corresponding author on reasonable request.
Competing interests
The authors declare that they have no competing interests.
No funding was received for conducting this study.
Authors’ contribution
Conceptualization: Osama S Abdelaziz and Zuraiha Waffa; Methodology: Osama S Abdelaziz and Zuraiha Waffa; Data collection and formal analysis: Zuraiha Waffa; Writing - original draft preparation: Zuraiha Waffa; Writing - review and editing: Osama S. Abdelaziz; Supervision: Osama S Abdelaziz. All authors read and approved the final manuscript.
The authors acknowledge Hend Mostafa Ali, Assistant Lecturer at Community Medicine Department, Alexandria University, for her assistance in statistical analyses.
©2022 Abdelaziz, et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and build upon your work non-commercially.