Research Article Volume 6 Issue 1
Department of Statistics, Eritrea Institute of Technology, Asmara, Eritrea
Correspondence: Rama Shanker, Department of Statistics, Eritrea Institute of Technology, Asmara, Eritrea
Received: May 19, 2017 | Published: May 30, 2017
Citation: Shanker R. Rani Distribution and Its Application. Biom Biostat Int J. 2017;6(1):256‒265 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2017.06.00155
In the present paper, a new one parameter lifetime distribution named, “Rani Distribution’ has been proposed for modeling lifetime data from engineering and biomedical sciences. Its various statistical and mathematical properties including its shapes for varying values of parameter, moments and moments based measures, hazard rate function, mean residual life function, stochastic ordering, deviations from the mean and the median, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, order statistics , Renyi entropy measure and stress-strength reliability have been studied. Both the maximum likelihood estimation and the method of moments have been discussed for estimating the parameter of the proposed distribution. A simulation study has been carried out and results are presented. A numerical example has been presented to test the goodness of fit of the proposed distribution and it has been found that it gives much closer fit than almost all one parameter lifetime distributions introduced in statistical literature.
Keywords: lifetime distributions, statistical and mathematical properties, parameter estimation, goodness of fit
In the present world the modeling and analyzing lifetime data are essential in almost all applied sciences including medicine, engineering, insurance and finance, amongst others. The two classical one parameter lifetime distributions which are popular and are in use for modeling lifetime data from biomedical science and engineering are exponential and Lindley introduced by Lindley.1 Shanker, et al.,2 have detailed comparative study on modeling of lifetime data from various fields of knowledge and observed that there are many lifetime data where these two distributions are not suitable due to their shapes, nature of hazard rate functions, and mean residual life functions, amongst others. In search for new one parameter lifetime distributions which gives better fit than exponential and Lindley distributions, recently Shanker has introduced several one parameter lifetime distributions in statistical literature namely Akash,3 Shanker,4 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Amarendra,7 Devya,8 Rama9 and Akshaya10 and showed that these distributions gives better fit than the classical exponential and Lindley distributions. The probability density function (pdf) and the corresponding cumulative distribution function (cdf) of Akash[3], Shanker,4 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Amarendra,7 Devya,>8 Rama9 and Lindley1 distributions are presented in Table (1). It has also been discussed by Shanker that although each of these lifetime distributions has advantages and disadvantages over one another due to its shapes, hazard rate functions and mean residual life functions, there are still many lifetime data where these distributions are not suitable for modeling lifetime data from theoretical or applied point of view. Therefore, an attempt has been made in this paper to obtain a new lifetime distribution which is flexible than these one parameter lifetime distributions for modeling lifetime data in reliability and in terms of its hazard rate shapes.
The new one parameter lifetime distribution is based on a two-component mixture of an exponential distribution having scale parameter θθ and a gamma distribution having shape parameter 5 and scale parameter θθ with their mixing proportionθ5θ5+24θ5θ5+24 .
The probability density function (p.d.f.) of a new one parameter lifetime distribution can be introduced as
f(x;θ)=θ5θ5+24(θ+x4)e−θx ;x>0, θ>0f(x;θ)=θ5θ5+24(θ+x4)e−θx;x>0,θ>0 (1.1)
We would call this distribution, “Rani distribution”. This distribution can be easily expressed as a mixture of exponential (θ)(θ) and gamma (5,θ)(5,θ) with mixing proportionθ5θ5+24θ5θ5+24 . We have
f(x,θ)=p g1(x)+(1−p)g2(x)f(x,θ)=pg1(x)+(1−p)g2(x)
wherep=θ5θ5+24, g1(x)=θe−θ x, and g2(x)=θ5x4e−θx24p=θ5θ5+24,g1(x)=θe−θx,andg2(x)=θ5x4e−θx24 .
The corresponding cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of (1.1) can easily be obtained as
F(x,θ)=1−[1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24]e−θ x ;x>0,θ>0F(x,θ)=1−[1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24]e−θx;x>0,θ>0 (1.2)
The graphs of the p.d.f. and the c.d.f. of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θθ are shown in Figures 1 & 2. The p.d.f. of Rani distribution is monotonically decreasing.
Distributions |
Probability density functions and cumulative distribution functions |
|
Akash |
f(x)=θ3θ2+2(1+x2)e−θ x ;x>0, θ>0f(x)=θ3θ2+2(1+x2)e−θx;x>0,θ>0 |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θ x(θ x+2)θ2+2]e−θ x F(x)=1−[1+θx(θx+2)θ2+2]e−θx |
|
Shanker |
f(x) = θ2θ2+1 (θ+x) e−θx f(x)=θ2θ2+1(θ+x)e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θxθ2+1] e−θx F(x)=1−[1+θxθ2+1]e−θx |
|
Aradhana |
f(x)=θ3θ2+2θ+2(1+x)2e−θxf(x)=θ3θ2+2θ+2(1+x)2e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θx(θx+2θ+2)θ2+2θ+2]e−θx F(x)=1−[1+θx(θx+2θ+2)θ2+2θ+2]e−θx |
|
Sujatha |
f(x)=θ3θ2+θ+2(1+x+x2)e−θxf(x)=θ3θ2+θ+2(1+x+x2)e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θx(θx+θ+2)θ2+θ+2]e−θxF(x)=1−[1+θx(θx+θ+2)θ2+θ+2]e−θx |
|
Amarendra |
f(x)=θ4θ3+θ2+2θ+6(1+x+x2+x3)e−θxf(x)=θ4θ3+θ2+2θ+6(1+x+x2+x3)e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θ3x3+θ2(θ+3)x2+θ(θ2+2θ+6)xθ3+θ2+2θ+6]e−θxF(x)=1−[1+θ3x3+θ2(θ+3)x2+θ(θ2+2θ+6)xθ3+θ2+2θ+6]e−θx |
|
Devya |
f(x)=θ5θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24(1+x+x2+x3+x4)e−θxf(x)=θ5θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24(1+x+x2+x3+x4)e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+{θ4(x4+x3+x2+x)+θ3(4x3+3x2+2x)+6θ2(2x2+x)+24θx}θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24]e−θxF(x)=1−⎡⎢ ⎢⎣1+{θ4(x4+x3+x2+x)+θ3(4x3+3x2+2x)+6θ2(2x2+x)+24θx}θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24⎤⎥ ⎥⎦e−θx |
|
Rama |
f(x)=θ4θ3+6(1+x3)e−θxf(x)=θ4θ3+6(1+x3)e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θ3x3+3θ2x2+6θ xθ3+6]e−θxF(x)=1−[1+θ3x3+3θ2x2+6θxθ3+6]e−θx |
|
Akshaya |
f(x)=θ4θ3+3θ2+6θ+6(1+x)3e−θ xf(x)=θ4θ3+3θ2+6θ+6(1+x)3e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θ3x3+3θ2(θ+1)x2+3θ(θ2+2θ+2)xθ3+3θ2+6θ+6]e−θ xF(x)=1−[1+θ3x3+3θ2(θ+1)x2+3θ(θ2+2θ+2)xθ3+3θ2+6θ+6]e−θx |
|
Lindley |
f(x)=θ2θ+1(1+x)e−θ xf(x)=θ2θ+1(1+x)e−θx |
|
cdf |
F(x)=1−[1+θ xθ+1]e−θ xF(x)=1−[1+θxθ+1]e−θx |
Table 1 pdf and cdf of Akash, Shanker, Aradhana, Sujatha, Amarendra, Devya, Rama, Akshaya and lindley distributions for x>0, θ>0x>0,θ>0
The moment generating function of Rani distribution (1.1) can be obtained as
MX(t)=θ5θ5+24∞∫0e−(θ−t) x(θ+x4) dxMX(t)=θ5θ5+24∞∫0e−(θ−t)x(θ+x4)dx
=θ5θ5+24[θθ−t+24(θ−t)5]=θ5θ5+24[θθ−t+24(θ−t)5]
=θ5θ5+24[∞∑k=0(tθ)k+24θ5∞∑k=0(k+4k)(tθ)k]=θ5θ5+24[∞∑k=0(tθ)k+24θ5∞∑k=0(k+4k)(tθ)k]
=∞∑k=0θ5+(k+1)(k+2)(k+3)(k+4)θ5+24(tθ)k=∞∑k=0θ5+(k+1)(k+2)(k+3)(k+4)θ5+24(tθ)k
Thus the rr
th moment about origin μr′
, obtained as the coefficient of trr!
in MX(t)
, of Rani distribution can be given by
μr′=r![θ5+(r+1)(r+2)(r+3)(r+4)]θr(θ5+24) ;r=1,2,3,... (2.1)
Substitutingr=1,2,3, and 4
, the first four moments about origin of Rani distribution are obtained as
μ1′=θ5+120θ(θ5+24)
, μ2′=2(θ5+360)θ2(θ5+24)
, μ3′=6(θ5+840)θ3(θ5+24)
, μ4′=24(θ5+1680)θ4(θ5+24)
Now using relationship between central moments and moments about origin, the central moments of Rani distribution are obtained as
μ2=θ10+528θ5+2880θ2(θ5+24)2
μ3=2(θ15+1512θ10+1728θ5+69120)θ3(θ5+24)3
μ4=9(θ20+2656θ15+58752θ10+1234944θ5+3870720)θ4(θ5+24)4
The coefficient of variation(C.V) , coefficient of skewness(√β1) , coefficient of kurtosis (β2) and index of dispersion (γ) of Rani distribution are thus obtained as
C.V=σμ1′=√θ10+528θ5+2880θ5+120
√β1=μ3μ23/2=2(θ15+1512θ10+1728θ5+69120)(θ10+528θ5+2880)3/2
β2=μ4μ22=9(θ20+2656θ15+58752θ10+1234944θ5+3870720)(θ10+528θ5+2880)2
γ=σ2μ1′=θ10+528θ5+2880θ(θ5+24)(θ5+120)
Figure 3 Graphs of coefficient of variation, coefficient of skewness, coefficient of kurtosis and index of dispersion of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θ .
Distribution |
Over-dispersion (μ<σ2) |
Equi-dispersion (μ=σ2) |
Under-dispersion (μ=σ2) |
Rani |
θ<2.449757591 |
θ=2.449757591 |
θ>2.449757591 |
Akash |
θ<1.515400063 |
θ=1.515400063 |
θ>1.515400063 |
Rama |
θ<1.950164618 |
θ=1.950164618 |
θ>1.950164618 |
Akshaya |
θ<1.327527885 |
θ=1.950164618 |
θ>1.950164618 |
Shanker |
|
θ<1.171535555 |
θ=1.171535555 |
Amarendra |
θ<1.525763580 |
θ=1.525763580 |
θ>1.525763580 |
Aradhana |
θ<1.283826505 | θ=1.283826505 > |
θ>1.283826505 |
Sujatha |
θ<1.364271174 > |
θ=1.364271174 |
θ>1.364271174 |
Devya |
θ<1.451669994 |
θ=1.451669994 |
θ>1.451669994 |
Lindley |
θ<1.170086487 |
θ=1.170086487 |
θ>1.170086487 |
Exponential |
θ<1 |
θ=1 |
θ>1 |
Table 2 Over-dispersion, equi-dispersion and under-dispersion of Rani, Akash, Rama, Akshaya, Shanker, Amarendra, Aradhana, Sujatha, Devya, Lindley and exponential distributions for parameter θ
Let f(x) and F(x) be the p.d.f. and c.d.f of a continuous random variableX . The hazard rate function (also known as the failure rate function) and the mean residual life function of a continuous random variableX are, respectively, defined as
h(x)=limΔx→0P(X<x+Δx |X>x)Δx=f(x)1−F(x) (3.1)
and m(x)=E[X−x|X>x] = 11−F(x)∫∞x[1−F(t)] dt (3.2)
The corresponding hazard rate function,h(x) and the mean residual life function,m(x) of the Rani distribution are obtained as
h(x)=θ5(θ+x4)θ4x4+4θ3x3+12θ2x2+24θx+(θ5+24)
(3.3)
andm(x)=1[θ4x4+4θ3x3+12θ2x2+24θx+(θ5+24)]e−θx∞∫x[θ4t4+4θ3t3+12θ2t2+24θt+(θ5+24)]e−θtdt
=θ4x4+8θ3x3+36θ2x2+96θx+(θ5+120)θ[θ4x4+4θ3x3+12θ2x2+24θx+(θ5+24)]
(3.4)
It can be easily verified that h(0)=θ5θ5+24=f(0) and m(0)=θ5+120θ(θ5+24)=μ1′ . It is also obvious from the graphs of h(x) andm(x) that the shapes of h(x) is increasing, decreasing and upside bathtub, whereas the shapes ofm(x) is decreasing, increasing(θ=0.5) and downside bathtub. The graphs of the hazard rate function and mean residual life function of Rani distribution are shown in Figure (4).
Stochastic ordering of positive continuous random variables is an important tool for judging their comparative behavior. A random variable X is said to be smaller than a random variable Y in the
The following results due to Shaked and Shanthikumar [11] are well known for establishing stochastic ordering of distributions
X≤lrY⇒X≤hrY⇒X≤mrlY
(4.1)
⇓X≤stY
Rani distribution is ordered with respect to the strongest ‘likelihood ratio’ ordering as shown in the following theorem.
Theorem: Suppose X
∼
Rani distributon(θ1)
and Y
∼
Rani distribution(θ2)
. Ifθ1>θ2
, then X≤lrY
and henceX≤hrY
, X≤mrlY
andX≤stY
.
Proof: We have
fX(x)fY(x)=θ15(θ25+24)θ25(θ15+24)(θ1+x4θ2+x4)e−(θ1−θ2)x ; x>0
Now
lnfX(x)fY(x)=ln[θ15(θ25+24)θ25(θ15+24)]+ln(θ1+x4θ2+x4)−(θ1−θ2)x
.
This gives ddx{lnfX(x)fY(x)}=−4(θ1−θ2)x3θ2+x4−(θ1−θ2)
Thus forθ1>θ2 , ddx{lnfX(x)fY(x)}<0 . This means that X≤lrY and henceX≤hrY , X≤mrlY andX≤stY .
The amount of scatter in a population is measured to some extent by the totality of deviations usually from mean and median. These are known as the mean deviation about the mean and the mean deviation about the median defined as
δ1(X)=∞∫0|x−μ| f(x)dx
and δ2(X)=∞∫0|x−M| f(x)dx
, respectively, where μ=E(X)
and M=Median (X)
. The measures δ1(X)
and δ2(X)
can be calculated using the simplified relationships
δ1(X)=μ∫0(μ−x)f(x)dx+∞∫μ(x−μ)f(x)dx
=μF(μ)−μ∫0x f(x)dx−μ[1−F(μ)]+∞∫μx f(x)dx
=2μF(μ)−2μ+2∞∫μx f(x)dx
=2μF(μ)−2μ∫0x f(x)dx
(5.1)
and
δ2(X)=M∫0(M−x)f(x)dx+∞∫M(x−M)f(x)dx
=M F(M)−M∫0x f(x)dx−M[1−F(M)]+∞∫Mx f(x)dx
=−μ+2∞∫Mx f(x)dx
=μ−2M∫0x f(x)dx
(5.2)
Using p.d.f. (1.1) and expression for the mean of Rani distribution (1.1), we get
μ∫0x f(x)dx=μ−{θ5(μ5+θμ+1)+5θ4μ4+20θ3μ3+60θ2μ2+120(θ μ+1)}e−θ μθ(θ5+24)
(5.3)
M∫0x f(x)dx=μ−{θ5(M5+θM+1)+5θ4M4+20θ3M3+60θ2M2+120(θ M+1)}e−θ Mθ(θ5+24)
(5.4)
Using expressions from (5.1), (5.2), (5.3), and (5.4), the mean deviation about mean,δ1(X) and the mean deviation about median, δ2(X) of Rani distribution (1.1) are obtained as
δ1(X)=2{θ4μ4+8 θ3μ3+36 θ2μ2+96 θ μ+(θ5+120)}e−θ μθ(θ5+24)
(5.5)
δ2(X)=2{θ5(M5+θM)+5 θ4M4+20 θ3M3+60 θ2M2+120 θ M+(θ5+120)}e−θ Mθ(θ5+24)−μ
(5.6)
The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves12 and Bonferroni and Gini indices have applications not only in economics to study income and poverty, but also in other fields like reliability, demography, insurance and medicine. The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves are defined as
B(p)=1pμq∫0x f(x) dx=1pμ[∞∫0x f(x)dx−∞∫qx f(x) dx]=1pμ[μ−∞∫qx f(x) dx]
(6.1)
and L(p)=1μq∫0x f(x) dx=1μ[∞∫0x f(x)dx−∞∫qx f(x) dx]=1μ[μ−∞∫qx f(x) dx]
(6.2)
respectively or equivalently
B(p)=1pμp∫0F−1(x) dx
(6.3)
and L(p)=1μp∫0F−1(x) dx
(6.4)
respectively, where μ=E(X)
and q=F−1(p)
.
The Bonferroni and Gini indices are thus defined as
B=1−1∫0B(p) dp
(6.5)
and G=1−21∫0L(p) dp
(6.6)
respectively.
Using p.d.f. of Rani distribution (1.1), we have
∞∫qx f(x) dx={θ5(q5+θ q)+5 θ4q4+20 θ3q3+60 θ2 q2+120 θ q+(θ5+120)}e−θqθ(θ5+24) (6.7)
Now using equation (6.7) in (6.1) and (6.2), we have
B(p)=1p[1−{θ5(q5+θ q)+5 θ4q4+20 θ3q3+60 θ2 q2+120 θ q+(θ5+120)}e−θqθ5+120]
(6.8)
andL(p)=1−{θ5(q5+θ q)+5 θ4q4+20 θ3q3+60 θ2 q2+120 θ q+(θ5+120)}e−θqθ5+120
(6.9)
Now using equations (6.8) and (6.9) in (6.5) and (6.6), the Bonferroni and Gini indices are obtained as
B=1−{θ5(q5+θ q)+5 θ4q4+20 θ3q3+60 θ2 q2+120 θ q+(θ5+120)}e−θqθ5+120
(6.10)
G=2{θ5(q5+θ q)+5 θ4q4+20 θ3q3+60 θ2 q2+120 θ q+(θ5+120)}e−θqθ5+120−1
(6.11)
Distribution of order statistics
Let X1, X2, ..., Xn be a random sample of size n from Rani distribution (1.1). Let X(1)<X(2)< ... <X(n) denote the corresponding order statistics. The p.d.f. and the c.d.f. of the k th order statistic, say Y=X(k) are given by
fY(y)=n!(k−1)! (n−k)! Fk−1(y){1−F(y)}n−kf(y)
=n!(k−1)! (n−k)! n−k∑l=0(n−kl)(−1)lFk+l−1(y)f(y)
and
FY(y)=n∑j=k(nj) Fj(y){1−F(y)}n−j
=n∑j=kn−j∑l=0(nj)(n−jl) (−1)lFj+l(y) ,
respectively, for k=1,2,3,...,n .
Thus, the p.d.f. and the c.d.f of k th order statistics of Rani distribution are given by
fY(y)=n!θ5(θ+ x4)e−θx(θ5+24)(k−1)! (n−k)! n−k∑l=0(n−kl)(−1)l×[1−{1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24}e−θx]k+l−1
and
FY(y)=n∑j=kn−j∑l=0(nj)(n−jl) (−1)l[1−{1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24}e−θx]j+l
Renyi entropy measure
Entropy of a random variable X is a measure of variation of uncertainty. A popular entropy measure is Renyi entropy [13]. If X is a continuous random variable having probability density functionf(.) , then Renyi entropy is defined as
TR(γ)=11−γlog{∫fγ(x)dx}
whereγ>0 and γ≠1
.
Thus, the Renyi entropy for the Rani distribution (1.1) is obtained as
TR(γ)=11−γlog[∞∫0θ5γ(θ5+24)γ(θ+ x4)γe−θ γ xdx]
=11−γlog[∞∫0θ6γ(θ5+24)γ(1+x4θ)γe−θ γ xdx]
=11−γlog[∞∑j=0(γj)θ6γ−j(θ5+24)γ∞∫0e−θ γ xx4j+1−1dx]
=11−γlog[∞∑j=0(γj)θ6γ−j(θ5+24)γΓ(4j+1)(θγ)4j+1]
=11−γlog[∞∑j=0(γj)θγ−1(1+θ)γ−j(θ+2)γΓ(4j+1)(γ)j+1]
=11−γlog[∞∑j=0(γj)θ6γ−5j−1(θ5+24)γΓ(4j+1)(γ)4j+1]
The stress-strength reliability gives the idea about the life of a component which has random strengthX that is subjected to a random stressY . When the stress applied to it exceeds the strength, the component fails instantly and the component will function satisfactorily tillX>Y . Therefore, R=P(Y<X) is a measure of the component reliability and in statistical literature it is known as stress-strength parameter. It has wide applications in almost all areas of knowledge especially in engineering such as structures, deterioration of rocket motors, static fatigue of ceramic components, aging of concrete pressure vessels etc.
Let X and Y be independent strength and stress random variables having Rani distribution (1.1) with parameter θ1 and θ2 respectively. Then the stress-strength reliability R of Rani distribution can be obtained as
R=P(Y<X)=∞∫0P(Y<X|X=x)fX(x)dx
=∞∫0f(x;θ1) F(x;θ2)dx
=1−θ15[40320 θ24+20160 θ23(θ1+θ2)+8640 θ22(θ1+θ2)2+2880 θ2(θ1+θ2)3+24(θ25+θ1θ24+24)(θ1+θ2)4+24θ1θ23(θ1+θ2)5+24θ1θ22(θ1+θ2)6+24θ1θ2(θ1+θ2)7+θ1(θ25+24)(θ1+θ2)8](θ15+24)(θ25+24)(θ1+θ2)9
.
Maximum likelihood estimate (MLE)
Let (x1, x2, x3, ... ,xn) be a random sample from Rani distribution (1.1). The likelihood function, L of (1.1) is given by
L=(θ5θ5+24)nn∏i=1(θ+xi4) e−n θ ˉx
The natural log likelihood function is thus obtained as
lnL=nln(θ5θ5+24)+n∑i=1ln(θ+xi4)−n θ ˉx
.
Now dlnLdθ=5nθ−5 n θ4θ5+24+n∑i=11θ+xi4−n ˉx
, where ˉx
is the sample mean.
The MLE ˆθ of θ is the solution of the equation dlnLdθ=0 and thus it is the solution of the following nonlinear equation
5nθ−5 n θ4θ5+24+n∑i=11θ+xi4−n ˉx=0
Method of moment estimate (MOME)
Equating the population mean of Rani distribution (1.1) to the corresponding sample mean, MOME˜θ
, of θ
is the solution of the following six degree polynomial equation
ˉx θ6−θ5+24 θ ˉx−120=0
.
In this section, a simulation study has been carried out to know the efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) of Rani distribution. The simulation study is based on Acceptance/Rejection method.
Acceptance/Rejection algorithm:
To simulate from the density fX
, it is assumed that we have envelope density h
from which it can simulate and that we have some k<∞
such that Supx fX(x)h(x)≤k
.
Step 1. Simulate X
from h
Step 2. Generate Y ~U(0,k h(x))
, where k=θ5θ5+24
Step 3. If Y <fX(x)
, then return X
, otherwise go to step 1
The simulation study is based on generating N=10,000
samples of size n=50,100,150,200
for θ=0.5,1,1.5 and 2
using above algorithm. Then we calculate the following measures
(i) Average bias of the simulated estimate
Average bias = 1NN∑i=1(ˆθi−θ)
, where ˆθi
is the ML estimate
(ii) Average mean square error (MSE)
Average mean square error = 1NN∑i=1(ˆθi−θ)2 .
The average bias and average mean square error (MSE) for each of the ML estimate has been calculated and shown in Table (3), where MSE has been shown in bracket.
n |
θ=0.5 |
θ=1 |
θ=1.5 |
θ=2 |
50 |
0.05034 |
0.026212 |
0.010078 |
-0.00079 |
-0.12673 |
-0.03435 |
-0.01008 |
||
100 |
0.025405 |
0.132465 |
0.005188 |
-0.00033 |
-0.06454 |
-0.01755 |
-0.00269 |
||
150 |
0.017098 |
0.008916 |
0.003523 |
-0.0002 |
-0.04385 |
-0.01193 |
-0.00186 |
||
200 |
0.012992 |
0.006755 |
0.002713 |
-0.00012 |
-0.03376 |
-0.00913 |
-0.00147 |
Table 3 Average bias and average mean square error of the simulated estimate
In this section, the goodness of fit of Rani distribution has been discussed with a real lifetime data set from engineering and the fit has been compared with one parameter lifetime distributions namely Akash,3 Shanker,4 Amarendra,7 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Devya,8 Lindley1 and exponential. The data set is the strength data of glass of the aircraft window reported by Fuller, et al.,14 and are given as 18.83, 20.80, 21.657, 23.03, 23.23, 24.05, 24.321, 25.50, 25.52, 25.80, 26.69, 26.77, 26.78, 27.05, 27.67, 29.90, 31.11, 33.20, 33.73, 33.76, 33.89, 34.76, 35.75, 35.91, 36.98, 37.08, 37.09, 39.58, 44.045, 45.29, 45.381. In order to compare lifetime distributions, values of −2lnL , AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) and K-S Statistic ( Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic) for the above data set have been computed and presented in Table (4).
The formulae for computing AIC and K-S Statistic are as follows:
AIC=−2lnL+2k
, K-S=Supx|Fn(x)−F0(x)|
, where k
= the number of parameters, n
= the sample size and Fn(x)
is the empirical distribution function. The best distribution is the distribution which corresponds to lower values of−2lnL
, AIC, and K-S statistic and higher p-value. The MLE (ˆθ)
with the standard error, S.E(ˆθ)
ofθ
, −2lnL
, AIC, K-S Statistic and p-value of the fitted distributions are presented in the Table (4). It can be easily observed from above Table (3) that Rani distribution gives better fit than the fit given by Akash,3 Rama,9 Akshaya,10 Shanker,4 Amarendra ,7 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Devya8 Lindley1 and exponential distributions and hence it can be considered as an important lifetime distribution for modeling lifetime data over these distributions.
A one parameter lifetime distribution named, “Rani distribution” has been proposed. Its statistical properties including shapes, moments, skewness, kurtosis, index of dispersion, hazard rate function, mean residual life function, stochastic ordering, mean deviations, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves and stress-strength reliability have been discussed. The condition under which Rani distribution is over-dispersed, equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed are presented along other one parameter lifetime distributions. Maximum likelihood estimation and method of moments have been discussed for estimating its parameter. A simulation study has been presented. Finally, the goodness of fit test using K-S Statistic (Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic) and p-value for a real lifetime data has been presented and the fit has been compared with some one parameter lifetime distributions.
NOTE: The paper is named “Rani distribution” in the name of my lovely niece Rani Kumari, second daughter of my respected eldest brother Professor Shambhu Sharma, Department of Mathematics, Dayalbagh Educational Institute, Dayalbagh, Agra, India.
Distributions(ˆθ) |
(ˆθ) | S.E (ˆθ) |
−2lnL |
AIC |
K-S |
p-value |
Rani |
0.162278 |
0.013034 |
227.25 |
229.25 |
0.223 |
0.0775 |
Akash |
0.097065 |
0.010048 |
240.68 |
242.68 |
0.298 |
0.0059 |
Rama |
0.129782 |
0.011651 |
232.79 |
234.79 |
0.253 |
0.0301 |
Akshaya |
0.125745 |
0.011292 |
234.44 |
236.44 |
0.263 |
0.0223 |
Shanker |
0.647164 |
0.0082 |
252.35 |
254.35 |
0.358 |
0.0004 |
Amarendra |
0.128294 |
0.012413 |
233.41 |
235.41 |
0.257 |
0.0269 |
Aradhana |
0.094319 |
0.00978 |
242.22 |
244.22 |
0.306 |
0.0044 |
Sujatha |
0.095613 |
0.009904 |
241.5 |
243.5 |
0.303 |
0.0051 |
Devya |
0.160873 |
0.012916 |
227.68 |
229.68 |
0.422 |
0 |
Lindley |
0.062992 |
0.008001 |
253.98 |
255.98 |
0.365 |
0.0003 |
Exponential |
0.032449 |
0.005822 |
274.52 |
276.53 |
0.458 |
0 |
Table 4 MLE’s, S.E - 2ln L, AIC and K-S statistics of the fitted distributions of the given data set
None.
None.
©2017 Shanker. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and build upon your work non-commercially.
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