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Biometrics & Biostatistics International Journal

Research Article Volume 6 Issue 1

Rani distribution and its application

Rama Shanker

Department of Statistics, Eritrea Institute of Technology, Asmara, Eritrea

Correspondence: Rama Shanker, Department of Statistics, Eritrea Institute of Technology, Asmara, Eritrea

Received: May 19, 2017 | Published: May 30, 2017

Citation: Shanker R. Rani Distribution and Its Application. Biom Biostat Int J. 2017;6(1):256‒265 DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2017.06.00155

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Abstract

In the present paper, a new one parameter lifetime distribution named, “Rani Distribution’ has been proposed for modeling lifetime data from engineering and biomedical sciences. Its various statistical and mathematical properties including its shapes for varying values of parameter, moments and moments based measures, hazard rate function, mean residual life function, stochastic ordering, deviations from the mean and the median, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, order statistics , Renyi entropy measure and stress-strength reliability have been studied. Both the maximum likelihood estimation and the method of moments have been discussed for estimating the parameter of the proposed distribution. A simulation study has been carried out and results are presented. A numerical example has been presented to test the goodness of fit of the proposed distribution and it has been found that it gives much closer fit than almost all one parameter lifetime distributions introduced in statistical literature.

Keywords: lifetime distributions, statistical and mathematical properties, parameter estimation, goodness of fit

Introducton

In the present world the modeling and analyzing lifetime data are essential in almost all applied sciences including medicine, engineering, insurance and finance, amongst others. The two classical one parameter lifetime distributions which are popular and are in use for modeling lifetime data from biomedical science and engineering are exponential and Lindley introduced by Lindley.1 Shanker, et al.,2 have detailed comparative study on modeling of lifetime data from various fields of knowledge and observed that there are many lifetime data where these two distributions are not suitable due to their shapes, nature of hazard rate functions, and mean residual life functions, amongst others. In search for new one parameter lifetime distributions which gives better fit than exponential and Lindley distributions, recently Shanker has introduced several one parameter lifetime distributions in statistical literature namely Akash,3 Shanker,4 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Amarendra,7 Devya,8 Rama9 and Akshaya10 and showed that these distributions gives better fit than the classical exponential and Lindley distributions. The probability density function (pdf) and the corresponding cumulative distribution function (cdf) of Akash[3], Shanker,4 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Amarendra,7 Devya,>8 Rama9 and Lindley1 distributions are presented in Table (1). It has also been discussed by Shanker that although each of these lifetime distributions has advantages and disadvantages over one another due to its shapes, hazard rate functions and mean residual life functions, there are still many lifetime data where these distributions are not suitable for modeling lifetime data from theoretical or applied point of view. Therefore, an attempt has been made in this paper to obtain a new lifetime distribution which is flexible than these one parameter lifetime distributions for modeling lifetime data in reliability and in terms of its hazard rate shapes.

 The new one parameter lifetime distribution is based on a two-component mixture of an exponential distribution having scale parameter θθ  and a gamma distribution having shape parameter 5 and scale parameter θθ  with their mixing proportionθ5θ5+24θ5θ5+24 .

The probability density function (p.d.f.) of a new one parameter lifetime distribution can be introduced as

f(x;θ)=θ5θ5+24(θ+x4)eθx;x>0,θ>0f(x;θ)=θ5θ5+24(θ+x4)eθx;x>0,θ>0  (1.1)

 We would call this distribution, “Rani distribution”. This distribution can be easily expressed as a mixture of exponential (θ)(θ)  and gamma (5,θ)(5,θ)  with mixing proportionθ5θ5+24θ5θ5+24 . We have

f(x,θ)=pg1(x)+(1p)g2(x)f(x,θ)=pg1(x)+(1p)g2(x)

wherep=θ5θ5+24,g1(x)=θeθx,andg2(x)=θ5x4eθx24p=θ5θ5+24,g1(x)=θeθx,andg2(x)=θ5x4eθx24 .

The corresponding cumulative distribution function (c.d.f.) of (1.1) can easily be obtained as

F(x,θ)=1[1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24]eθx;x>0,θ>0F(x,θ)=1[1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24]eθx;x>0,θ>0  (1.2)

The graphs of the p.d.f. and the c.d.f. of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θθ are shown in Figures 1 & 2. The p.d.f. of Rani distribution is monotonically decreasing.

Distributions

Probability density functions and cumulative distribution functions

Akash

pdf

f(x)=θ3θ2+2(1+x2)eθx;x>0,θ>0f(x)=θ3θ2+2(1+x2)eθx;x>0,θ>0

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θx(θx+2)θ2+2]eθxF(x)=1[1+θx(θx+2)θ2+2]eθx

Shanker

pdf

f(x)=θ2θ2+1(θ+x)eθxf(x)=θ2θ2+1(θ+x)eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θxθ2+1]eθxF(x)=1[1+θxθ2+1]eθx

Aradhana

pdf

f(x)=θ3θ2+2θ+2(1+x)2eθxf(x)=θ3θ2+2θ+2(1+x)2eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θx(θx+2θ+2)θ2+2θ+2]eθxF(x)=1[1+θx(θx+2θ+2)θ2+2θ+2]eθx

Sujatha

pdf

f(x)=θ3θ2+θ+2(1+x+x2)eθxf(x)=θ3θ2+θ+2(1+x+x2)eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θx(θx+θ+2)θ2+θ+2]eθxF(x)=1[1+θx(θx+θ+2)θ2+θ+2]eθx

Amarendra

pdf

f(x)=θ4θ3+θ2+2θ+6(1+x+x2+x3)eθxf(x)=θ4θ3+θ2+2θ+6(1+x+x2+x3)eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θ3x3+θ2(θ+3)x2+θ(θ2+2θ+6)xθ3+θ2+2θ+6]eθxF(x)=1[1+θ3x3+θ2(θ+3)x2+θ(θ2+2θ+6)xθ3+θ2+2θ+6]eθx

Devya

pdf

f(x)=θ5θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24(1+x+x2+x3+x4)eθxf(x)=θ5θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24(1+x+x2+x3+x4)eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+{θ4(x4+x3+x2+x)+θ3(4x3+3x2+2x)+6θ2(2x2+x)+24θx}θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24]eθxF(x)=1⎢ ⎢1+{θ4(x4+x3+x2+x)+θ3(4x3+3x2+2x)+6θ2(2x2+x)+24θx}θ4+θ3+2θ2+6θ+24⎥ ⎥eθx

Rama

pdf

f(x)=θ4θ3+6(1+x3)eθxf(x)=θ4θ3+6(1+x3)eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θ3x3+3θ2x2+6θxθ3+6]eθxF(x)=1[1+θ3x3+3θ2x2+6θxθ3+6]eθx

Akshaya

pdf

f(x)=θ4θ3+3θ2+6θ+6(1+x)3eθxf(x)=θ4θ3+3θ2+6θ+6(1+x)3eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θ3x3+3θ2(θ+1)x2+3θ(θ2+2θ+2)xθ3+3θ2+6θ+6]eθxF(x)=1[1+θ3x3+3θ2(θ+1)x2+3θ(θ2+2θ+2)xθ3+3θ2+6θ+6]eθx

Lindley

pdf

f(x)=θ2θ+1(1+x)eθxf(x)=θ2θ+1(1+x)eθx

cdf

F(x)=1[1+θxθ+1]eθxF(x)=1[1+θxθ+1]eθx

Table 1 pdf and cdf of Akash, Shanker, Aradhana, Sujatha, Amarendra, Devya, Rama, Akshaya and lindley distributions for x>0,θ>0x>0,θ>0

  • Figure 1 Graphs of the pdf of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θθ .

  • Figure 2 Graphs of the cdf of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θθ .

    Moments and moments based measures

    The moment generating function of Rani distribution (1.1) can be obtained as

    MX(t)=θ5θ5+240e(θt)x(θ+x4)dxMX(t)=θ5θ5+240e(θt)x(θ+x4)dx
    =θ5θ5+24[θθt+24(θt)5]=θ5θ5+24[θθt+24(θt)5]
    =θ5θ5+24[k=0(tθ)k+24θ5k=0(k+4k)(tθ)k]=θ5θ5+24[k=0(tθ)k+24θ5k=0(k+4k)(tθ)k]
    =k=0θ5+(k+1)(k+2)(k+3)(k+4)θ5+24(tθ)k=k=0θ5+(k+1)(k+2)(k+3)(k+4)θ5+24(tθ)k
    Thus the rr th moment about origin μr , obtained as the coefficient of trr!  in MX(t) , of Rani distribution can be given by

    μr=r![θ5+(r+1)(r+2)(r+3)(r+4)]θr(θ5+24);r=1,2,3,...  (2.1)

    Substitutingr=1,2,3,and4 , the first four moments about origin of Rani distribution are obtained as
    μ1=θ5+120θ(θ5+24) , μ2=2(θ5+360)θ2(θ5+24) , μ3=6(θ5+840)θ3(θ5+24) , μ4=24(θ5+1680)θ4(θ5+24)
    Now using relationship between central moments and moments about origin, the central moments of Rani distribution are obtained as

    μ2=θ10+528θ5+2880θ2(θ5+24)2
    μ3=2(θ15+1512θ10+1728θ5+69120)θ3(θ5+24)3
    μ4=9(θ20+2656θ15+58752θ10+1234944θ5+3870720)θ4(θ5+24)4

    The coefficient of variation(C.V) , coefficient of skewness(β1) , coefficient of kurtosis (β2) and index of dispersion (γ)  of Rani distribution are thus obtained as

    C.V=σμ1=θ10+528θ5+2880θ5+120
    β1=μ3μ23/2=2(θ15+1512θ10+1728θ5+69120)(θ10+528θ5+2880)3/2
    β2=μ4μ22=9(θ20+2656θ15+58752θ10+1234944θ5+3870720)(θ10+528θ5+2880)2
    γ=σ2μ1=θ10+528θ5+2880θ(θ5+24)(θ5+120)

    The nature of coefficient of variation, coefficient of skewness, coefficient of kurtosis and index of dispersion of Rani distribution have been shown graphically for varying values of parameter in Figure (3). The condition under which Rani distribution is over-dispersed, equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed along with condition under which Akash,3 Rama9 Akshaya,10 Shanker,4 Amarendra,7 Aradhana,5 Sujatha6 Devya,8 Lindley1 and exponential distributions are over-dispersed, equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed are presented in Table (2).


    Figure 3 Graphs of coefficient of variation, coefficient of skewness, coefficient of kurtosis and index of dispersion of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θ .

    Distribution

    Over-dispersion (μ<σ2)

    Equi-dispersion (μ=σ2)

    Under-dispersion (μ=σ2)

    Rani

    θ<2.449757591

    θ=2.449757591

    θ>2.449757591

    Akash

    θ<1.515400063

    θ=1.515400063

    θ>1.515400063

    Rama

    θ<1.950164618

    θ=1.950164618

    θ>1.950164618

    Akshaya

    θ<1.327527885

    θ=1.950164618

    θ>1.950164618

    Shanker

    θ<1.171535555

    θ=1.171535555

    Amarendra

    θ<1.525763580

    θ=1.525763580

    θ>1.525763580

    Aradhana

    θ<1.283826505

    θ=1.283826505 >

    θ>1.283826505

    Sujatha

    θ<1.364271174 >

    θ=1.364271174

    θ>1.364271174

    Devya

    θ<1.451669994

    θ=1.451669994

    θ>1.451669994

    Lindley

    θ<1.170086487

    θ=1.170086487

    θ>1.170086487

    Exponential

    θ<1

    θ=1

    θ>1

    Table 2 Over-dispersion, equi-dispersion and under-dispersion of Rani, Akash, Rama, Akshaya, Shanker, Amarendra, Aradhana, Sujatha, Devya, Lindley and exponential distributions for parameter θ

    Hazard rate function and mean residual life function

    Let f(x)  and F(x)  be the p.d.f. and c.d.f of a continuous random variableX . The hazard rate function (also known as the failure rate function) and the mean residual life function of a continuous random variableX are, respectively, defined as

    h(x)=limΔx0P(X<x+Δx|X>x)Δx=f(x)1F(x)  (3.1)

    and m(x)=E[Xx|X>x]=11F(x)x[1F(t)]dt  (3.2)

    The corresponding hazard rate function,h(x) and the mean residual life function,m(x) of the Rani distribution are obtained as

    h(x)=θ5(θ+x4)θ4x4+4θ3x3+12θ2x2+24θx+(θ5+24)  (3.3)

    andm(x)=1[θ4x4+4θ3x3+12θ2x2+24θx+(θ5+24)]eθxx[θ4t4+4θ3t3+12θ2t2+24θt+(θ5+24)]eθtdt
    =θ4x4+8θ3x3+36θ2x2+96θx+(θ5+120)θ[θ4x4+4θ3x3+12θ2x2+24θx+(θ5+24)]  (3.4)

    It can be easily verified that h(0)=θ5θ5+24=f(0) and m(0)=θ5+120θ(θ5+24)=μ1 . It is also obvious from the graphs of h(x)  andm(x) that the shapes of h(x)  is increasing, decreasing and upside bathtub, whereas the shapes ofm(x) is decreasing, increasing(θ=0.5)  and downside bathtub. The graphs of the hazard rate function and mean residual life function of Rani distribution are shown in Figure (4).

  • Figure 4 Graphs of h(x) and m(x) of Rani distribution for varying values of the parameter θ .

    Stochastic orderings

    Stochastic ordering of positive continuous random variables is an important tool for judging their comparative behavior. A random variable X is said to be smaller than a random variable Y in the

    1. stochastic order (XstY) if FX(x)FY(x) for all x
    2. hazard rate order (XhrY) if hX(x)hY(x)  for all x
    3. mean residual life order (XmrlY) if mX(x)mY(x) for all x
    4. likelihood ratio order (XlrY) if fX(x)fY(x)  decreases inx .

    The following results due to Shaked and Shanthikumar [11] are well known for establishing stochastic ordering of distributions

    XlrYXhrYXmrlY (4.1)
    XstY

    Rani distribution is ordered with respect to the strongest ‘likelihood ratio’ ordering as shown in the following theorem.

    Theorem: Suppose X  Rani distributon(θ1)  and Y  Rani distribution(θ2) . Ifθ1>θ2 , then XlrY and henceXhrY , XmrlY andXstY .
    Proof: We have

    fX(x)fY(x)=θ15(θ25+24)θ25(θ15+24)(θ1+x4θ2+x4)e(θ1θ2)x  ; x>0

    Now

    lnfX(x)fY(x)=ln[θ15(θ25+24)θ25(θ15+24)]+ln(θ1+x4θ2+x4)(θ1θ2)x  .
    This gives ddx{lnfX(x)fY(x)}=4(θ1θ2)x3θ2+x4(θ1θ2)

    Thus forθ1>θ2 , ddx{lnfX(x)fY(x)}<0 . This means that XlrY and henceXhrY , XmrlY andXstY .

    Mean deviations

    The amount of scatter in a population is measured to some extent by the totality of deviations usually from mean and median. These are known as the mean deviation about the mean and the mean deviation about the median defined as
    δ1(X)=0|xμ|f(x)dx  and δ2(X)=0|xM|f(x)dx , respectively, where μ=E(X)  and M=Median (X) . The measures δ1(X) and δ2(X) can be calculated using the simplified relationships

    δ1(X)=μ0(μx)f(x)dx+μ(xμ)f(x)dx
    =μF(μ)μ0xf(x)dxμ[1F(μ)]+μxf(x)dx
    =2μF(μ)2μ+2μxf(x)dx
    =2μF(μ)2μ0xf(x)dx  (5.1)

    and

    δ2(X)=M0(Mx)f(x)dx+M(xM)f(x)dx
    =MF(M)M0xf(x)dxM[1F(M)]+Mxf(x)dx
    =μ+2Mxf(x)dx
    =μ2M0xf(x)dx  (5.2)

    Using p.d.f. (1.1) and expression for the mean of Rani distribution (1.1), we get

    μ0xf(x)dx=μ{θ5(μ5+θμ+1)+5θ4μ4+20θ3μ3+60θ2μ2+120(θμ+1)}eθμθ(θ5+24)  (5.3)
    M0xf(x)dx=μ{θ5(M5+θM+1)+5θ4M4+20θ3M3+60θ2M2+120(θM+1)}eθMθ(θ5+24)  (5.4)

    Using expressions from (5.1), (5.2), (5.3), and (5.4), the mean deviation about mean,δ1(X)  and the mean deviation about median, δ2(X)  of Rani distribution (1.1) are obtained as

    δ1(X)=2{θ4μ4+8θ3μ3+36θ2μ2+96θμ+(θ5+120)}eθμθ(θ5+24)  (5.5)
    δ2(X)=2{θ5(M5+θM)+5θ4M4+20θ3M3+60θ2M2+120θM+(θ5+120)}eθMθ(θ5+24)μ  (5.6)

    Bonferroni and lorenz curves

    The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves12 and Bonferroni and Gini indices have applications not only in economics to study income and poverty, but also in other fields like reliability, demography, insurance and medicine. The Bonferroni and Lorenz curves are defined as

    B(p)=1pμq0xf(x)dx=1pμ[0xf(x)dxqxf(x)dx]=1pμ[μqxf(x)dx]  (6.1)
    and L(p)=1μq0xf(x)dx=1μ[0xf(x)dxqxf(x)dx]=1μ[μqxf(x)dx]  (6.2)

    respectively or equivalently

    B(p)=1pμp0F1(x)dx  (6.3)
    and L(p)=1μp0F1(x)dx  (6.4)

    respectively, where μ=E(X)  and q=F1(p) .
    The Bonferroni and Gini indices are thus defined as

    B=110B(p)dp  (6.5)
    and G=1210L(p)dp  (6.6)

    respectively.
    Using p.d.f. of Rani distribution (1.1), we have

    qxf(x)dx={θ5(q5+θq)+5θ4q4+20θ3q3+60θ2q2+120θq+(θ5+120)}eθqθ(θ5+24)  (6.7)

    Now using equation (6.7) in (6.1) and (6.2), we have

    B(p)=1p[1{θ5(q5+θq)+5θ4q4+20θ3q3+60θ2q2+120θq+(θ5+120)}eθqθ5+120]  (6.8)
    andL(p)=1{θ5(q5+θq)+5θ4q4+20θ3q3+60θ2q2+120θq+(θ5+120)}eθqθ5+120 (6.9)

    Now using equations (6.8) and (6.9) in (6.5) and (6.6), the Bonferroni and Gini indices are obtained as

    B=1{θ5(q5+θq)+5θ4q4+20θ3q3+60θ2q2+120θq+(θ5+120)}eθqθ5+120  (6.10)
    G=2{θ5(q5+θq)+5θ4q4+20θ3q3+60θ2q2+120θq+(θ5+120)}eθqθ5+1201  (6.11)

    Order statistics and renyi entropy measure

    Distribution of order statistics

     Let X1,X2,...,Xn  be a random sample of size n  from Rani distribution (1.1). Let X(1)<X(2)<...<X(n) denote the corresponding order statistics. The p.d.f. and the c.d.f. of the k th order statistic, say Y=X(k) are given by

    fY(y)=n!(k1)!(nk)!Fk1(y){1F(y)}nkf(y)

    =n!(k1)!(nk)!nkl=0(nkl)(1)lFk+l1(y)f(y)

    and

    FY(y)=nj=k(nj)Fj(y){1F(y)}nj

    =nj=knjl=0(nj)(njl)(1)lFj+l(y) ,

    respectively, for k=1,2,3,...,n .

     Thus, the p.d.f. and the c.d.f of k th order statistics of Rani distribution are given by

    fY(y)=n!θ5(θ+x4)eθx(θ5+24)(k1)!(nk)!nkl=0(nkl)(1)l×[1{1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24}eθx]k+l1

    and

    FY(y)=nj=knjl=0(nj)(njl)(1)l[1{1+θx(θ3x3+4θ2x2+12θx+24)θ5+24}eθx]j+l

    Renyi entropy measure

    Entropy of a random variable X is a measure of variation of uncertainty. A popular entropy measure is Renyi entropy [13]. If X is a continuous random variable having probability density functionf(.) , then Renyi entropy is defined as

    TR(γ)=11γlog{fγ(x)dx}

    whereγ>0andγ1 .
    Thus, the Renyi entropy for the Rani distribution (1.1) is obtained as

    TR(γ)=11γlog[0θ5γ(θ5+24)γ(θ+x4)γeθγxdx]

    =11γlog[0θ6γ(θ5+24)γ(1+x4θ)γeθγxdx]

    =11γlog[0θ6γ(θ5+24)γj=0(γj)(x4θ)jeθγxdx]

    =11γlog[j=0(γj)θ6γj(θ5+24)γ0eθγxx4j+11dx]

    =11γlog[j=0(γj)θ6γj(θ5+24)γΓ(4j+1)(θγ)4j+1]

    =11γlog[j=0(γj)θγ1(1+θ)γj(θ+2)γΓ(4j+1)(γ)j+1]
    =11γlog[j=0(γj)θ6γ5j1(θ5+24)γΓ(4j+1)(γ)4j+1]

    Stress-strength reliability

    The stress-strength reliability gives the idea about the life of a component which has random strengthX that is subjected to a random stressY . When the stress applied to it exceeds the strength, the component fails instantly and the component will function satisfactorily tillX>Y . Therefore, R=P(Y<X) is a measure of the component reliability and in statistical literature it is known as stress-strength parameter. It has wide applications in almost all areas of knowledge especially in engineering such as structures, deterioration of rocket motors, static fatigue of ceramic components, aging of concrete pressure vessels etc.

    Let X and Y be independent strength and stress random variables having Rani distribution (1.1) with parameter θ1  and θ2  respectively. Then the stress-strength reliability R of Rani distribution can be obtained as

    R=P(Y<X)=0P(Y<X|X=x)fX(x)dx
    =0f(x;θ1)F(x;θ2)dx
    =1θ15[40320θ24+20160θ23(θ1+θ2)+8640θ22(θ1+θ2)2+2880θ2(θ1+θ2)3+24(θ25+θ1θ24+24)(θ1+θ2)4+24θ1θ23(θ1+θ2)5+24θ1θ22(θ1+θ2)6+24θ1θ2(θ1+θ2)7+θ1(θ25+24)(θ1+θ2)8](θ15+24)(θ25+24)(θ1+θ2)9 .

    Estimation of parameter

    Maximum likelihood estimate (MLE)

    Let (x1,x2,x3,...,xn)  be a random sample from Rani distribution (1.1). The likelihood function, L of (1.1) is given by

    L=(θ5θ5+24)nni=1(θ+xi4)enθˉx

    The natural log likelihood function is thus obtained as

    lnL=nln(θ5θ5+24)+ni=1ln(θ+xi4)nθˉx .
    Now dlnLdθ=5nθ5nθ4θ5+24+ni=11θ+xi4nˉx , where ˉx is the sample mean.

    The MLE ˆθ  of θ  is the solution of the equation dlnLdθ=0  and thus it is the solution of the following nonlinear equation

    5nθ5nθ4θ5+24+ni=11θ+xi4nˉx=0

    Method of moment estimate (MOME)

    Equating the population mean of Rani distribution (1.1) to the corresponding sample mean, MOME˜θ , of θ  is the solution of the following six degree polynomial equation
    ˉxθ6θ5+24θˉx120=0 .

    A Simulation study

    In this section, a simulation study has been carried out to know the efficiency of the maximum likelihood estimate(MLE) of Rani distribution. The simulation study is based on Acceptance/Rejection method.

    Acceptance/Rejection algorithm:
    To simulate from the density fX , it is assumed that we have envelope density h  from which it can simulate and that we have some k< such that SupxfX(x)h(x)k .
    Step 1. Simulate X  from h
    Step 2. Generate Y~U(0,kh(x)) , where k=θ5θ5+24
    Step 3. If Y<fX(x) , then return X , otherwise go to step 1
    The simulation study is based on generating N=10,000  samples of size n=50,100,150,200 for θ=0.5,1,1.5and2 using above algorithm. Then we calculate the following measures
    (i) Average bias of the simulated estimate

    Averagebias=1NNi=1(ˆθiθ) , where ˆθi  is the ML estimate
    (ii) Average mean square error (MSE)

    Averagemeansquareerror=1NNi=1(ˆθiθ)2 .

    The average bias and average mean square error (MSE) for each of the ML estimate has been calculated and shown in Table (3), where MSE has been shown in bracket.

    n

    θ=0.5

    θ=1

    θ=1.5

    θ=2

    50

    0.05034

    0.026212

    0.010078

    -0.00079

    -0.12673

    -0.03435

    -0.01008

    100

    0.025405

    0.132465

    0.005188

    -0.00033

    -0.06454

    -0.01755

    -0.00269

    150

    0.017098

    0.008916

    0.003523

    -0.0002

    -0.04385

    -0.01193

    -0.00186

    200

    0.012992

    0.006755

    0.002713

    -0.00012

    -0.03376

    -0.00913

    -0.00147

    Table 3 Average bias and average mean square error of the simulated estimate

    The graphical presentation of MSE for different values of parameter is shown in Figure 5.

    Goodness of fit

    In this section, the goodness of fit of Rani distribution has been discussed with a real lifetime data set from engineering and the fit has been compared with one parameter lifetime distributions namely Akash,3 Shanker,4 Amarendra,7 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Devya,8 Lindley1 and exponential. The data set is the strength data of glass of the aircraft window reported by Fuller, et al.,14 and are given as 18.83, 20.80, 21.657, 23.03, 23.23, 24.05, 24.321, 25.50, 25.52, 25.80, 26.69, 26.77, 26.78, 27.05, 27.67, 29.90, 31.11, 33.20, 33.73, 33.76, 33.89, 34.76, 35.75, 35.91, 36.98, 37.08, 37.09, 39.58, 44.045, 45.29, 45.381. In order to compare lifetime distributions, values of 2lnL , AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) and K-S Statistic ( Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic) for the above data set have been computed and presented in Table (4).

    Figure 5 Graphs of MSE for different values of θ and n .

    The formulae for computing AIC and K-S Statistic are as follows:
    AIC=2lnL+2k , K-S=Supx|Fn(x)F0(x)| , where k  = the number of parameters, n  = the sample size and Fn(x) is the empirical distribution function. The best distribution is the distribution which corresponds to lower values of2lnL , AIC, and K-S statistic and higher p-value. The MLE (ˆθ)  with the standard error, S.E(ˆθ)  ofθ , 2lnL , AIC, K-S Statistic and p-value of the fitted distributions are presented in the Table (4). It can be easily observed from above Table (3) that Rani distribution gives better fit than the fit given by Akash,3 Rama,9 Akshaya,10 Shanker,4 Amarendra ,7 Aradhana,5 Sujatha,6 Devya8 Lindley1 and exponential distributions and hence it can be considered as an important lifetime distribution for modeling lifetime data over these distributions.

    Concluding remarks

    A one parameter lifetime distribution named, “Rani distribution” has been proposed. Its statistical properties including shapes, moments, skewness, kurtosis, index of dispersion, hazard rate function, mean residual life function, stochastic ordering, mean deviations, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves and stress-strength reliability have been discussed. The condition under which Rani distribution is over-dispersed, equi-dispersed, and under-dispersed are presented along other one parameter lifetime distributions. Maximum likelihood estimation and method of moments have been discussed for estimating its parameter. A simulation study has been presented. Finally, the goodness of fit test using K-S Statistic (Kolmogorov-Smirnov Statistic) and p-value for a real lifetime data has been presented and the fit has been compared with some one parameter lifetime distributions.

    NOTE: The paper is named “Rani distribution” in the name of my lovely niece Rani Kumari, second daughter of my respected eldest brother Professor Shambhu Sharma, Department of Mathematics, Dayalbagh Educational Institute, Dayalbagh, Agra, India.

    Distributions(ˆθ)

    (ˆθ)

    S.E (ˆθ)

    2lnL

    AIC

    K-S

    p-value

    Rani

    0.162278

    0.013034

    227.25

    229.25

    0.223

    0.0775

    Akash

    0.097065

    0.010048

    240.68

    242.68

    0.298

    0.0059

    Rama

    0.129782

    0.011651

    232.79

    234.79

    0.253

    0.0301

    Akshaya

    0.125745

    0.011292

    234.44

    236.44

    0.263

    0.0223

    Shanker

    0.647164

    0.0082

    252.35

    254.35

    0.358

    0.0004

    Amarendra

    0.128294

    0.012413

    233.41

    235.41

    0.257

    0.0269

    Aradhana

    0.094319

    0.00978

    242.22

    244.22

    0.306

    0.0044

    Sujatha

    0.095613

    0.009904

    241.5

    243.5

    0.303

    0.0051

    Devya

    0.160873

    0.012916

    227.68

    229.68

    0.422

    0

    Lindley

    0.062992

    0.008001

    253.98

    255.98

    0.365

    0.0003

    Exponential

    0.032449

    0.005822

    274.52

    276.53

    0.458

    0

    Table 4 MLE’s, S.E - 2ln L, AIC and K-S statistics of the fitted distributions of the given data set

    Acknowledgements

    None.

    Conflicts of interest

    None.

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