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Biometrics & Biostatistics International Journal

Research Article Volume 5 Issue 3

A general overview of response surface methodology

Andre I Khuri

Department of Statistics, University of Florida, USA

Correspondence: Andre I. Khuri, Department of Statistics, University of Florida, USA

Received: October 29, 2017 | Published: March 10, 2017

Citation: Khuri AI. A general overview of response surface methodology. Biom Biostat Int J. 2017;5(3):87-93. DOI: 10.15406/bbij.2017.05.00133

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Response surface methodology

Response surface methodology (RSM) is a collection of statistical and mathematical techniques used for the purpose of

  1. Setting up a series of experiments (design) for adequate predictions of a response y.
  2. Fitting a hypothesized (empirical) model to data obtained under the chosen design.
  3. Determining optimum conditions on the model's input (control) variables that lead to maximum or minimum response within a region of interest.

Formal work on RSM began with the publication of the article On the Experimental Attainment of Optimum Conditions by Box et al.1

RSM review articles

  1. Hill and Hunter2
  2. Mead and Pike3
  3. Myers, Khuri, and Carter4

See also the article by Steinberg and Hunter.5

RSM books include

  1. Myers and Montgomery6
  2. Khuri and Cornell7
  3. Box and Draper8

The present article provides a general overview of response surface methodology (RSM).

Notation

Let η  denote the mean of a response variable y . Let x1,,xk denote a set of input, or control, variables. Then,

η(x)=ϕ(x1,,xk).

For example, we have the first-order model
η(x)=β0+ki=1βixi

or the second-order model

η(x)=β0+ki=1βixi+ki=1kj=1βijxixj
y=η+,

where E()=0 and Var()=σ2

Let xui  denote the design setting of variable xi  at the uth experimental run (u=1,2,,n;i=1,2,,k) . Let yu  denote the corresponding response value. By definition, the design matrix D is the n×k matrix

D=[x11x12x1kx21x22x2kxn1xn2xnk]

We have the linear model

y=Xβ+,

where X  is n×p of rank p and β is a vector of unknown parameters.
The least-squares estimator of β  is

ˆβ=(X'X)1X'y
Var(ˆβ)=(X'X)1σ2
ˆy(x)=f'(x)ˆβ,

where f'(x) is a vector of order 1×p of the same form as a row of X , but
is evaluated at the point x=(x1,,xk)'
For a first-order model, the predicted response is

ˆy(x)=ˆβ0+ki=1ˆβixi,
and for a second-order model we have

ˆy(x)=ˆβ0+ki=1ˆβixi,+ki=1kj=1ˆβijxixj.

The prediction variance is given by
Var[ˆy(x)]=σ2f'(x)(X'X)1f(x).

Choice of a response surface design

Some important properties of a response surface design (Box and Draper)8:

  1. Generation of a satisfactory distribution of information throughout the region of interest, R .
  2. “Closeness" of ˆy(x) to η(x) over R .
  3. Good detectibility of lack of fit.
  4. Insensitivity (robustness) to extreme observations and to violations of the usual normal theory assumptions.
  5. Ability to perform experiments in blocks.
  6. Extendibility to a higher-order design.
  7. Requiring a small number of experimental runs.

Variance-related design criteria

  1. D-optimality: Maximization of |X'X|
  2. |X'X|12 is propotional to the volume of an ellipsoidal confidence region on β .

  3. A-optimality: Minimization of tr[(X'X)1]
  4. E-optimality: Minimization of the largest eigenvalue of (X'X)1
  5. G-optimality: Minimization of MaxR{Var[ˆy(x)]}
  6. The above are referred to as alphabetic optimality criteria. Some authors, including Box [9], have questioned the applicability of alphabetic optimality theory to response surface experiments, since such optimal designs are sensitive to the form of the model.
  7. Rotatability: A design D is rotatable if Var[ˆy(x)] is constant at all points that are equidistant from the design center (Box and Hunter (1957)).
    1. A rotatable design has the uniform precision property (UP) if the prediction variance at x=0 is equal to the prediction variance at a distance ρ=1 from the origin. A design is rotatable if and only if the X'X  matrix has a particular form.
    2. Rotatability is a desirable property to have, especially when there is a need to optimize ˆy(x) over the surface of a hypersphere, as is the case in ridge analysis.
  8. Orthogonality: A design is orthogonal if it can provide independent information about the effects of the various terms in the model.

Examples:

  1. 3k is orthogonal, but is not rotatable.
  2. Central composite design can be made rotatable and either have the
  3. UP property or the orthogonality property.

Bias-related design criteria

The fitted model is
y=f'(x)β+
The “True" model is
η(x)=f'(x)β+g'(x)γ.

Integrated Mean Squared Error Criterion:10,11 This amounts to the minimization of J, where
J=nΩσ2RE[ˆy(x)η(x)]2dx,

Ω is the reciprocal of the volume of R .
J=V+B.
V=nΩσ2RVar[ˆy(x)]dx

V=nΩRf'(x)(X'X)1f(x)dx
B=nΩσ2R{E[ˆy(x)]η(x)}2dx
B=nΩσ2Rγ'[A'f(x)g(x)][f'(x)Ag'(x)]γdx

where A=(X'X)1X'Z is the alias matrix, and z is the matrix corresponding to g'(x)
The Box and Draper criterion for the minimization of B is:
1nX'X=ΩRf(x)f'(x)dx

1nX'Z=ΩRf(x)g'(x)dx
Designs that minimize J have characteristics similar to those of designs which minimize B alone (all bias designs).

Design robustness

A design is robust if it helps reduce the impact of nonideal conditions on data analysis. Some of these conditions include

  • Nonnormal errors
  • Missing observations
  • Outliers

Box12 introduced the word “robust" when examining the effect of departure from normality on the analysis of variance. Some relevant articles are:13,15,16,48

Designs for the slope

These are designs for the estimation of the partial derivatives of the mean response η(x) with respect x1,,xk
Myers and Lahoda17 extended the Box-Draper integrated mean squared error criterion to find appropriate designs for the joint estimation of the partial derivatives of η(x) .
Hader and Park18 introduced the concept of design rotatability for second-order models. Under this design criterion, Var[ˆy(x)xi] is constant at all points that are equidistant from the design center (i=1,2,,k)
Park19 considered “slope rotatability over all directions": 
ˆy(x)=f'(x)ˆβ.

ˆyv=v'grad[ˆy(x)]=v'Gˆβ,

where v is a unit vector.
Var[ˆy(x)v]=σ2v'G(X'X)1G'v

AvgvVar[ˆy(x)v]=csVar[ˆy(x)v]dA,

where S  denotes the surface of a hypersphere of unit radius, c  is the reciprocal of the surface of S .

W(x)=Ave.SlopeVar.=σ2ktr[G(X'X)1G']

A design D is slope rotatable over all directions if W(x) is constant at all points equidistant from the design center.
Park gave necessary and sufficient conditions for a design to be slope rotatable over all directions for second-order models.
RotatabilitySlopeRotatabilityOverallDirections

Related articles

  • Huda and Mukerjee20
  • Mukerjee and Huda,21
  • Park22

Designs to increase the power of the lack of fit test

These are designs that induce a certain degree of sensitivity to possible inadequacy of the fitted model.
Construction of such designs is done by the maximization of
λ=γ'Lγ,

L=Z'[IX(X'X)1X']Z.

Λ1 optimality: Maximize Λ1 , the minimum of λ over a specified region
ϕ  in the γ  space.
Λ2 optimality: Maximize Λ2 , the average value of λ over the boundary of ϕ .

Response surface analysis

Estimation of Optimum Conditions.
The Method of Steepest Ascent This is a maximum-region-seeking procedure introduced by Box and Wilson1 for RSM: To maximize
ˆy(x)=ˆβ0+ki=1ˆβixi

subject to the constraint ki=1x2i=r2.

xi=rυi,

where υ=(υ1,,υk)' is a unit vector in the direction of grad[ˆy(x)] A related article is Myers and Khuri.23

Ridge analysis

Related articles include Hoerl,24 Draper25
To maximize (minimize)
ˆy(x)=ˆβ0+ki=1ˆβixi+ki=1kj=1βijxixj

ˆy(x)=ˆβ0+x'b+x'Bx

subject to the constraint ki=1x2i=r2
h(x)=ˆy(x)μ(ki=1x2ir2),

where μ  is a Lagrange multiplier.
For a maximum, μ should be larger than emax(B) .
For a minimum, μ should be smaller than emin(B) .
By selecting several values of μ as shown above, we obtain plots of
max. ˆy  vs. r and plots of xi  vs. r  for i=1,2,...,k
Khuri and Myers26 introduced a certain modification to the method of ridge analysis in cases in which the design is not rotatable and may even be ill conditioned. In such cases, Var[ˆy(x)] can vary appreciably on a hypersphere S(r) centered at the origin inside a region of interest. The proposed modification optimizes ˆy(x) on S(r) subject to maintaining certain a constraint on the size of Var[ˆy(x)]:
Var[ˆy(x)]=σ2f'(x)(X'X)1f(x)

Var[ˆy(x)]=σ2pi=1[f'(x)ωi]2vi

f'(x)ωi=ai+x'τi+x'Tix,

where p is the number of parameters in the model, ω1,...,ωp are orthonor-mal eigenvectors of X'X , and v1,....,vp are the corresponding eigenvalues of X'X . Let vmin be the smallest eigenvalue of X'X  and let ωm be the corresponding eigenvector. To optimize ˆy(x) subject to the constraints
ki=1x2i=r2

|f'(x)ωm|q

where q is a small positive constant, or equivalently,
|am+x'τm+x'Tmx|q

Confidence intervals and confidence regions associated with the optimum response

The estimated optimum of a mean response and the location of the optimum are obtained by using ˆy(x) . They are therefore random variables. In order to have a better assessment of optimum conditions, confidence intervals on the optimum of the mean response as well as confidence regions on the location of the optimum are needed. Relevant references include

  1. Box and Hunter27
  2. Stablein, Carter, and Wampler28
  3. Carter, Chinchilli, Campbell, and Wampler29
  4. Carter, Chinchilli, Myers, and Campbell30

Measure of rotatability31

A design is rotattable if and only if the X'X matrix has a particular form, which we denote by X'Xrot . For any given design D , the “closeness" of the corresponding X'X  matrix to X'Xrot can be determined. On this basis, a measure ψ(D) , which quantifies the percent rotatability that is inherent in D , can be derived. A  design D is rotatable if and only if ψ(D)=100 .

For example, the 32 factorial design is 93.08% rotatable.
Properties of ψ(D) :

  • It is invariant to a change of scale (same change for all the input variables).
  • It is invariant to the addition of experimental runs at the design center (design augmentation at the center).
  • It applies to any response surface model and design.
  • It is not invariant to design rotation.

Draper and Pukelsheim32 introduced a similar measure that is invariant to design rotation, but it applies only to second-order models.

Advantages of a measure of rotatability

  • Can be used to compare designs with respect to their degree of rotatability.
  • Can be used to construct a design that satisfies a certain desirable criterion, such as a bias or a variance criterion, in addition to having a relatively high percent rotatability.
  • Can be used to “repair" rotatability by the addition of properly chosen experimental runs to a given design.

Variance dispersion graphs

Giovannitti-jensen and myers (1989)

They plotted maximum and minimum values of 1σ2Var|ˆy(x)| , on a hyperspher S(r) , against r .
Relevant Reference are Khuri33 used the measure of rotatability ψ(D)  to derive several upper bounds on the range of 1σ2Var|ˆy(x)| . These bounds are easy to compute since they only require determining eigenvalues and traces associated with the matrices X'X and F , where
F=(X'X)1U1rot

and Urot  is the “rotatable" portion of X'X .

Measuring slope rotatability

Park and Kim34 defined a measure Qk(D) to quantify the degree of slope rotatability over axial directions18 for second-order models. It takes the value zero if and only if the design is slope rotatable. It can also be used to “repair" slope rotatability by design augmentation.

Jang and Park35 considered the maximum, Vmax(r) , and minimum, Vmin(r) , values of 1σ2W(x)  over a hypersphere S(r) , where

W(x)=σ2ktr[G(X'X)1G']

The quantity
Δ(r)=Vmin(r)Vmax(r)
is zero if and only if the design is slope rotatable over all directions. Jang and Park plotted Vmax(r) and  Vmin(r) against r (slope variance dispersion graphs).

Achievement of target conditions

Khuri and vining36

Specification Problem: To determine conditions on the input variables in a process that cause the mean response η(x)   to fall within specified bounds, e.g.,  α<η(x)<b , where a and b are given, with a specified degree of confidence.

Procedure

Start with an initial n-point design Dn
Calculate ˆβn=(X'nXn)1X'nyn ˆy(x)=f'(x)ˆβn

Compute
y1n(x)=ˆy(x)STDntα/2,np

y2n(x)=ˆy(x)+STDntα/2,np,

Where
STDn=[MSEf'(x)(X'nXn)1f(x)]1/2

If there is a point x0  such that α<y1n(x0),y2n(x0)<b , then x0 has a probability of at least 1α of satisfying
α<η(x0)<b,

x0  is a solution to the specification problem.
Khuri and Vining presented a sequential procedure of adding points to Dn , if necessary, until a solution can be found to the inequalities
α<y1n(x),y2n(x)<b

for a sufficiently large n .

Multiresponse experiments

An experiment in which a number of responses can be measured for each setting of a group of input variable, x1,...,xk , is called a multiresponse experiment.

When several responses are considered simultaneously, any statistical investigation of the responses should take into consideration the multi- variate nature of the data. The response variables should not be analyzed individually or independently of one another. This is particularly true when the response variables are correlated.

Traditional response surface techniques that apply to single response models are, in general, not adequate to analyze multiresponse models.

Linear multiresponse models

In particular, if the individual response models are linear, then

yi=Xiβi+i       i=1,2,,r.

Box draper37 determinant criterion

Y=F(D,B)+

An estimate of β is obtained by minimizing the determinant of
S(D,β)=[YF(D,β)]'[YF(D,β)]

Relevant articles include Box, Hunter, MacGregor, and Erjavec;38 Khuri.39

Estimation for linear multiresponse models

The r linear response models,

yi=Xiβi+i, i=1,2,...,r,

can be represented as a single linear multiresponse model
y=XΘ+δ,
Where  y=[y'1,y'2,,y'r]'

X is a block-diagonal matrix diag(X1,X2,,Xr) ,

Θ=[β'1,β'2,,β'r]'    and,

δ=['1,'2,,'r]'

The variance-covariance matrix of is given by the direct (Kronecker) product In

ˆΘ=[X'(1In)X]1X'(1In)y
If is unknown, an estimate =(ˆσij) can be used, where

ˆσij=1ny'i[InPj]yj, i,j=1,2,...,r,

and
Pi=Xi(X'iXi)1X'i i=1,2,,r.
Zelner40
In particular, if X1=X2==Xr=X0 , then,

ˆβi=(X'0X0)1X'0yi,

Designs for multiresponse models

Draper and Hunter,41 Fedorov):42 D-optimal designs. must be known. Wijesinha and Khuri43 used an estimate of . Wijesinha and Khuri44 considered designs that maximize the power of the multi variate lack fit test.
Khuri:45 Multiresponse rotatability for linear multirespose models.
A design is multiresponse rotatable if Var[ˆy(x)]  is constant at all points x that are equidistant from the origin, where ˆy(x) is the vector of r predicted responses.
This design property can be achieved if and only if the design is rotatable for a single-response model having the highest degree among all the r response models.

Lack of fit of a multiresponse model

Khuri46

The models

yi=Xiβi+i, i=1,2,,r

can be written as
Y=X*B+

where
Y=[y1:y2:...:yr]

X*=[X1:X2::Xr]

B=diag(β1,β2,...,βr)

=[1:2:...:r]

Assume that replicated observations are available on all the responses at some points in a region of interest.

The above model suffers from lack of fit if and only if there exists a linear combination of the responses that suffers from lack of fit.

The multivariate lack of fit test is Roy's largest-root test, emax(G21G1)

Where
G1=Y'[InX(X'X)1X'K]Y

G2=Y'KY

K=diag(K1,K2,,Km,0)

Ki=Ivi1viJvi i=1,2,,m

( vi repeated observations are taken at the i th design point (i=1,2,,m) ).
Large values of the test statistic are significant.
Note: The test may be significant even though the response models do not individually exhibit a significant lack of fit.

A numerical example

Richert, et al.47 investigated the effects of heating temperature (x1) , pH level (x2) , redox potential (x3) , sodium oxalate (x4) , and sodium lauryl sulfate (x5)  on foaming properties of whey protein concentrates. The responses are y1 =whipping time

y2 =maximum overrun

y3 =percent soluble protein.

A second-order model was assumed for each response.

Multiresponse optimization

Khuri and Conlon48

The purpose of a multiresponse optimization technique is to find operating conditions on the input variables that lead to optimal, or near optimal, values of several response functions.

yi=X0βi+i, i=1,2,,r.

In this case, an unbiased estimate of , the variance-covariance matrix of ther response variables, is given by

u=Y'[InX0(X'0X0)1X'0]Y/(np),

rnp.

ˆyi(x)=f'(x)ˆβi, i=1,2,,r.

Let ˆy(x)=[ˆy1(x),ˆy2(x),,ˆyr(x)]'.

Let φi be the optimum value of ˆyi(x) optimized individually over a region of interest R (i=1,2,,r) .

φ=(φ1,φ2,,φr)'

Var[ˆy(x)]=f'(x)(X'0X0)1f(x)

An “ideal” optimum occurs when ˆyi(x) , for i=1,2,,r, , attain their individual optima at the same set of conditions.

To find “compromise conditions" that are somewhat favorable to all the responses, we consider the metric (distance function)

ρ[ˆy(x),φ]=[(ˆy(x)φ)'{Var[ˆy(x)]}1(ˆy(x)φ)]1/2

Multiresponse optimization is then reduced to minimizing ρ[ˆy(x),φ] with respect to x  over R .

Future directions in RSM

  • Research workers in RSM should provide the means to facilitate the use of RSM by data analysts, practitioners, and experimenters.
  • Research workers in RSM need feedback from experimenters. This can help create methodology that applies to realistic situations.
  • Better software support. The software currently available for RSM is limited. This is particularly true in the multiresponse area.
  • More research work is needed in the multiresponse case, especially in the design area.
  • Multiresponse techniques should be modified to allow the presence of a block effect in the model.
  • There is a need to explore new RSM techniques suitable for more general models under less restrictive assumptions (generalized linear models).
  • Develop designs which are robust with respect to several criteria.
  • There is a need for nonparametric techniques in RSM (model-free techniques).

Acknowledgments

None.

Conflicts of interest

None.

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